§ Category
Entertainment
Awards-show outcomes, box-office thresholds, tour grosses, streaming-subs markets.
§ Primer
Awards-show outcomes, box-office thresholds, tour grosses, streaming-subs markets.
Entertainment markets cluster around award ceremonies — Oscars, Emmys, Grammys, Globes — with supplementary markets on box-office take, tour grosses, and record-breaking streaming-subs milestones. Polymarket and Kalshi both list major-awards contracts in the US; Manifold carries a wider set including "will X artist drop an album by Y" markets and long-tail franchise milestones.
Canonical outcomes for award markets are the announced nominee slate plus "other" — the matcher has a contest-cues rule table that recognizes phrases like "Best Picture winner" or "Album of the Year" so equivalent markets across venues pair cleanly.
Pitfalls: late-announced nominees (resolving the "other" outcome), ties, rule changes between ceremonies, and venues that drop a market mid-season when a contender withdraws. Storm surfaces the venue's stated resolution source per event.
§ Matcher threshold
§ Active events
- Best Actor winner at the 99th Academy Awards Open
- Best Picture winner at the 99th Academy Awards Open
- Actress Oscars Best Open
- Coachella 2027 Headliner Artists Open
- Picture Oscars Best Open
- Target of Next Netflix Celebrity Roast Special Open
- Who Will Be The Next James Bond? Open
- Actress Cast as Britney Spears in Jon M. Chu Biopic Open
- Next James Bond Film Bond Girl Actress Open
- Next James Bond Film Felix Leiter Actor Open
- Next James Bond Film Villain Actor Open
- Next James Bond Film Villain Actor Open
§ Recently resolved
No resolved or expired events in this category yet.