Entertainment
Best Picture winner at the 99th Academy Awards
oscar_2027_best_picture resolves 2027-03-07
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- academy_ceremony
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 4 · 1 venue
Film announced as Best Picture winner at the 99th Academy Awards ceremony, anticipated March 2027. Canonical outcomes will be populated once the nominees are announced in January 2027.
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Behemoth yes | 0.015 | — | $7.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Behemoth no | 0.985 | — | $7.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Cry yes | 0.015 | — | $11.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Cry no | 0.985 | — | $11.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Death yes | 0.010 | — | $681 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Death no | 0.990 | — | $681 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Narnia: yes | 0.015 | — | $4.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Narnia: no | 0.985 | — | $4.0k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- narnia Narnia:
- death Death
- behemoth Behemoth
- cry Cry
§ Linked markets
Will Narnia: The Magician's Nephew win Best Picture at the Oscars?
proposal #521: expansion: detected entity "Narnia:" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; tbd_* placeholder event; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARPIC-27-NAR
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Status
- Active
Will The Death of Robin Hood win Best Picture at the Oscars?
proposal #528: expansion: detected entity "Death" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; tbd_* placeholder event; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARPIC-27-DEA
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $681
- Status
- Active
Will Behemoth win Best Picture at the Oscars?
proposal #523: expansion: detected entity "Behemoth" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARPIC-27-BEH
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Cry to Heaven win Best Picture at the Oscars?
proposal #532: expansion: detected entity "Cry" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARPIC-27-CRY
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Status
- Active