Entertainment
Next James Bond Film Felix Leiter Actor
next_james_bond_felix_leiter_actor resolves 2031-01-01
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 9
- Linked markets
- 8 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #1766: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets on same event: which actor plays Felix Leiter in next Bond film. Identical resolution dates and venue. Mutually exclusive outcomes form clean categorical event. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Aaron Staton yes | 0.060 | — | $26 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Aaron Staton no | 0.940 | — | $26 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Anthony Mackie yes | 0.115 | — | $34 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Anthony Mackie no | 0.885 | — | $34 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Boyd Holbrook yes | 0.120 | — | $71 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Boyd Holbrook no | 0.880 | — | $71 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Chiwetel Ejiofor yes | 0.095 | — | $22 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Chiwetel Ejiofor no | 0.905 | — | $22 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
John Hoogenakker yes | 0.100 | — | $255 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT John Hoogenakker no | 0.900 | — | $255 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Seth Numrich yes | 0.060 | — | $25 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Seth Numrich no | 0.940 | — | $25 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Steven Yeun yes | 0.075 | — | $2 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Steven Yeun no | 0.925 | — | $2 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Wyatt Russell yes | 0.065 | — | $258 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Wyatt Russell no | 0.935 | — | $258 | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- boyd_holbrook Boyd Holbrook
- john_hoogenakker John Hoogenakker
- aaron_staton Aaron Staton
- other Other actor
- wyatt-russell Wyatt Russell
- anthony-mackie Anthony Mackie
- chiwetel-ejiofor Chiwetel Ejiofor
- steven-yeun Steven Yeun
- seth-numrich Seth Numrich
§ Linked markets
Will Boyd Holbrook perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?
proposal #1806: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · canonical_outcome=boyd_holbrook
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-BOY
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $71
- Status
- Active
Will John Hoogenakker perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?
proposal #1807: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · canonical_outcome=john_hoogenakker
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-JOH
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $255
- Status
- Active
Will Aaron Staton perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?
proposal #1808: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · canonical_outcome=aaron_staton
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-AAR
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $26
- Status
- Active
Will Wyatt Russell perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?
proposal #1990: expansion: detected entity "Wyatt Russell" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-WYA
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $258
- Status
- Active
Will Anthony Mackie perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?
proposal #1991: expansion: detected entity "Anthony Mackie" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-ANT
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $34
- Status
- Active
Will Chiwetel Ejiofor perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?
proposal #1992: expansion: detected entity "Chiwetel Ejiofor" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-CHI
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $22
- Status
- Active
Will Steven Yeun perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?
proposal #1993: expansion: detected entity "Steven Yeun" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-STE
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2
- Status
- Active
Will Seth Numrich perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film?
proposal #1995: expansion: detected entity "Seth Numrich" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-FELIX-SET
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $25
- Status
- Active