Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №166 · Last revised 2026-06-06
Open

US Elections

2026 Colorado Republican Gubernatorial Primary

2026_colorado_republican_governor_primary resolves 2026-06-30

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
9
Linked markets
19 · 3 venues

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
Barbara Kirkmeyer yes 0.290 — $13.6k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.250 — $21.8k $2.1k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ yes 0.445 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Barbara Kirkmeyer no 0.710 — $13.6k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.750 — $21.8k $2.1k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ no 0.555 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
Jason Ray Clark yes 0.0055 — $132 —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.0015 — $3.1k $3.7k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Jason Ray Clark no 0.995 — $132 —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.999 — $3.1k $3.7k polymarket
Kalshi us
Greg Lopez yes 0.010 — $1.9k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.0090 — $4.0k $3.4k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ yes 0.010 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Greg Lopez no 0.990 — $1.9k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.991 — $4.0k $3.4k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ no 0.990 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
Jason Mikesell yes 0.0055 — $196 —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.0075 — $3.2k $3.7k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Jason Mikesell no 0.995 — $196 —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.993 — $3.2k $3.7k polymarket
Kalshi us
Mark Baisley yes 0.0060 — $1.5k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.011 — $8.3k $4.1k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ yes 0.290 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Mark Baisley no 0.994 — $1.5k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.989 — $8.3k $4.1k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ no 0.710 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
Victor Marx yes 0.685 — $28.0k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.670 — $9.4k $1.7k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Victor Marx no 0.315 — $28.0k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.330 — $9.4k $1.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
McBride Yes 0.0025 — $29.4k $5.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT McBride No 0.998 — $29.4k $5.4k polymarket
Kalshi us
Scott Bottoms yes 0.054 — $11.0k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.047 — $4.6k $5.3k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ yes 0.040 — —1 —1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Scott Bottoms no 0.946 — $11.0k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.953 — $4.6k $5.3k polymarket
PredictIt nz
↳ no 0.960 — —1 —1 predictit

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

  • NOT Barbara Kirkmeyer +540bps
    predictit NO 0.555 · kalshi YES 0.290 1550 bps gross · 1010 bps fees · mid-based · 3m ago
  • NOT Barbara Kirkmeyer +189bps
    kalshi NO 0.710 · polymarket YES 0.250 400 bps gross · 211 bps fees · mid-based · 3m ago
  • NOT Barbara Kirkmeyer +749bps
    predictit NO 0.555 · polymarket YES 0.250 1950 bps gross · 1201 bps fees · mid-based · 3m ago
  • NOT Mark Baisley +1830bps
    predictit NO 0.710 · kalshi YES 0.0060 2840 bps gross · 1010 bps fees · mid-based · 3m ago
  • NOT Mark Baisley +304bps
    polymarket NO 0.943 · kalshi YES 0.0060 515 bps gross · 211 bps fees · mid-based · 12h ago
  • NOT Mark Baisley +1584bps
    predictit NO 0.710 · polymarket YES 0.011 2785 bps gross · 1201 bps fees · mid-based · 3m ago
  • NOT Victor Marx +139bps
    kalshi NO 0.315 · polymarket YES 0.650 350 bps gross · 211 bps fees · mid-based · 54m ago
  • NOT Scott Bottoms +94bps
    polymarket NO 0.905 · kalshi YES 0.065 305 bps gross · 211 bps fees · mid-based · 12h ago

§ Spread history

  1. 3m ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  2. 3m ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  3. 3m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  4. 3m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +189bps
  5. 3m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +749bps
  6. 13m ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  7. 13m ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  8. 13m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  9. 13m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +189bps
  10. 13m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +749bps
  11. 24m ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  12. 24m ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  13. 24m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  14. 24m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +189bps
  15. 24m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +749bps
  16. 35m ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  17. 35m ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  18. 35m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  19. 35m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +189bps
  20. 35m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +749bps
  21. 46m ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  22. 46m ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  23. 46m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  24. 46m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +189bps
  25. 46m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +749bps
  26. 54m ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  27. 57m ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  28. 57m ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  29. 57m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  30. 57m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +189bps
  31. 57m ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +749bps
  32. 1h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  33. 1h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  34. 1h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  35. 1h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  36. 1h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +189bps
  37. 1h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +749bps
  38. 1h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  39. 1h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  40. 1h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  41. 1h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  42. 1h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  43. 1h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  44. 1h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  45. 2h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  46. 2h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  47. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  48. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  49. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  50. 2h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  51. 2h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  52. 2h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  53. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  54. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  55. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  56. 2h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  57. 2h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  58. 2h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  59. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  60. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  61. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  62. 2h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  63. 2h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  64. 2h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  65. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  66. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  67. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  68. 2h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  69. 2h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  70. 2h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  71. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  72. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  73. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  74. 2h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  75. 2h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  76. 2h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  77. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  78. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  79. 2h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  80. 3h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  81. 3h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  82. 3h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  83. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  84. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  85. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  86. 3h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  87. 3h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  88. 3h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  89. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  90. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  91. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  92. 3h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  93. 3h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  94. 3h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  95. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  96. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  97. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  98. 3h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  99. 3h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  100. 3h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  101. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  102. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  103. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  104. 3h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  105. 3h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  106. 3h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  107. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  108. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +489bps
  109. 3h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.220 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1049bps
  110. 4h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  111. 4h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  112. 4h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  113. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.290 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +540bps
  114. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · kalshi NO 0.710 mid-based +189bps
  115. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.250 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +749bps
  116. 4h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.650 · kalshi NO 0.315 mid-based +139bps
  117. 4h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  118. 4h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  119. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  120. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +189bps
  121. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +499bps
  122. 4h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  123. 4h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  124. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  125. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +189bps
  126. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +499bps
  127. 4h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  128. 4h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  129. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  130. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +189bps
  131. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +499bps
  132. 4h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  133. 4h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  134. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  135. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +189bps
  136. 4h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +499bps
  137. 5h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  138. 5h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  139. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  140. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +189bps
  141. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +499bps
  142. 5h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  143. 5h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  144. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  145. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +189bps
  146. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +499bps
  147. 5h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  148. 5h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  149. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  150. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +189bps
  151. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.275 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +499bps
  152. 5h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  153. 5h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  154. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  155. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  156. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  157. 5h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  158. 5h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  159. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  160. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  161. 5h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  162. 6h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  163. 6h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  164. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  165. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  166. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  167. 6h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  168. 6h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  169. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  170. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  171. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  172. 6h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  173. 6h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  174. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  175. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  176. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  177. 6h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  178. 6h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  179. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  180. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  181. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  182. 6h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  183. 6h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  184. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  185. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  186. 6h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  187. 7h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  188. 7h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  189. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  190. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  191. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  192. 7h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  193. 7h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  194. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  195. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  196. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  197. 7h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  198. 7h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  199. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  200. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  201. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  202. 7h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  203. 7h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  204. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  205. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  206. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  207. 7h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  208. 7h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  209. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  210. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  211. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  212. 7h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  213. 7h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  214. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  215. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  216. 7h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  217. 8h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  218. 8h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  219. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.315 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +290bps
  220. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · kalshi NO 0.685 mid-based +239bps
  221. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.270 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +549bps
  222. 8h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.012 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1579bps
  223. 8h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  224. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.325 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +190bps
  225. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.265 · kalshi NO 0.675 mid-based +389bps
  226. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.265 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +599bps
  227. 8h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  228. 8h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  229. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.325 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +190bps
  230. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.240 · kalshi NO 0.675 mid-based +639bps
  231. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.240 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +849bps
  232. 8h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.620 · kalshi NO 0.335 mid-based +239bps
  233. 8h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  234. 8h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  235. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.325 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +190bps
  236. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.240 · kalshi NO 0.675 mid-based +639bps
  237. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.240 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +849bps
  238. 8h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.620 · kalshi NO 0.335 mid-based +239bps
  239. 8h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  240. 8h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  241. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.325 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +190bps
  242. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.170 · kalshi NO 0.675 mid-based +1339bps
  243. 8h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.170 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1549bps
  244. 8h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.620 · kalshi NO 0.335 mid-based +239bps
  245. 9h ago Mark Baisley polymarket YES 0.011 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1584bps
  246. 9h ago Mark Baisley kalshi YES 0.0060 · predictit NO 0.710 mid-based +1830bps
  247. 9h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer kalshi YES 0.325 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +190bps
  248. 9h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.170 · kalshi NO 0.675 mid-based +1339bps
  249. 9h ago Barbara Kirkmeyer polymarket YES 0.170 · predictit NO 0.555 mid-based +1549bps
  250. 9h ago Victor Marx polymarket YES 0.620 · kalshi NO 0.335 mid-based +239bps

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§ Probability-sum arbs

For this categorical event, one or more venues' YES prices sum to more than $1.00 across all candidates — the probability axiom requires the sum to be ≈ $1.00, so the excess is a within-venue arb signal. Selling every YES leg captures the excess upfront; exactly one candidate resolves YES at $1.00, the rest at $0.

  1. polymarket
    Sum of YES = $1.095 across 8 candidates — excess 10¢
    955 bps

§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • barbara_kirkmeyer Barbara Kirkmeyer
  • greg_lopez Greg Lopez
  • mark_baisley Mark Baisley
  • mcbride McBride
  • scott_bottoms Scott Bottoms
  • other Other
  • marx Victor Marx
  • clark Jason Ray Clark
  • jason-mikesell Jason Mikesell