US Elections
2026 Colorado Republican Gubernatorial Primary
2026_colorado_republican_governor_primary resolves 2026-06-30
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 6
- Linked markets
- 6 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #10586: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=7 · venues=2 · candidates=5 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,colorado,republican,governor]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Barbara Kirkmeyer Yes | 0.240 | — | $18.9k | $3.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.470 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Barbara Kirkmeyer No | 0.760 | — | $18.9k | $3.6k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.530 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Greg Lopez yes | 0.410 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Greg Lopez no | 0.590 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Mark Baisley yes | 0.015 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Mark Baisley no | 0.985 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
McBride Yes | 0.0090 | — | $28.7k | $2.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT McBride No | 0.991 | — | $28.7k | $2.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Scott Bottoms yes | 0.185 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Scott Bottoms no | 0.815 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- barbara_kirkmeyer Barbara Kirkmeyer
- greg_lopez Greg Lopez
- mark_baisley Mark Baisley
- mcbride McBride
- scott_bottoms Scott Bottoms
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #10605: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mcbride · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=co
- External ID
- 825859
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $28.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #10606: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=barbara_kirkmeyer · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=co
- External ID
- 825856
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colorado Republican nomination for governor? — Barbara Kirkmeyer
proposal #10601: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=barbara_kirkmeyer · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=co
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33299
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colorado Republican nomination for governor? — Scott Bottoms
proposal #10602: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=scott_bottoms · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=co
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33298
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colorado Republican nomination for governor? — Greg Lopez
proposal #10603: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=greg_lopez · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=co
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33300
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Colorado Republican nomination for governor? — Mark Baisley
proposal #10604: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mark_baisley · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=co
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33297
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active