Event №010 · Last revised 2026-05-24
Open

Sports

FIFA World Cup 2026 winner

world_cup_2026_winner resolves 2026-07-19

Category
Sports
Resolution basis
fifa_final
Canonical outcomes
38
Linked markets
444 · 8 venues

National team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup in North America.

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Betfair Exchange uk
Albania Albania $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Algeria Algeria 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Algeria 0.0021 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Argentina Argentina 0.100 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Futuur curacao
Argentina 0.160 $2.7k 1 futuur
Metaculus us
Argentina 0.101 $56 1 metaculus
Limitless Exchange
Asia Asia 0.025 $2.2k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Yes 0.023 $713.4k $188.9k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Asia No 0.977 $713.4k $188.9k polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Australia Australia 0.0071 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Australia 0.011 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Austria Austria 0.0042 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Austria 0.0054 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Belgium Belgium 0.020 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Belgium 0.022 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Bolivia Bolivia $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Bosnia Bosnia 0.0011 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.0054 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Brazil Brazil 0.069 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Futuur curacao
Brazil 0.120 $2.7k 1 futuur
Metaculus us
Brazil 0.103 $56 1 metaculus
Metaculus us
Cabo Verde Cabo Verde 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Cameroon Cameroon $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Canada Canada 0.0043 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Canada 0.0032 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Cape Verde Cape Verde 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Chile Chile $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
China China $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Colombia Colombia 0.015 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Colombia 0.012 $56 1 metaculus
Metaculus us
Congo DR Congo DR 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Crypto.com us
Congo DR DR Congo 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.010 $185.8k 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Congo DR no 0.990 $185.8k 1 kalshi
Betfair Exchange uk
Costa Rica Costa Rica $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Metaculus us
Côte d'Ivoire Côte d'Ivoire 0.0021 $56 1 metaculus
Kalshi us
Cristiano Ronaldo yes 0.019 $428.9k 1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
Yes 50.000 $176 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Yes 0.039 $399.5k $122.9k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Cristiano Ronaldo no 0.981 $428.9k 1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
No 50.000 $176 1 limitless
Polymarket us
No 0.961 $399.5k $122.9k polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Croatia Croatia 0.0056 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Croatia 0.017 $56 1 metaculus
Crypto.com us
Curaçao Curacao 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.0010 $1.19M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.710 $2.1k $765 polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Curaçao no 0.999 $1.19M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.290 $2.1k $765 polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Curacao Curacao 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Curaçao Curaçao 0.0021 $56 1 metaculus
Crypto.com us
Czechia Czechia 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.010 $5.7k 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0005 $53.87M $13.67M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Czechia no 0.990 $5.7k 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 1.000 $53.87M $13.67M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Czechia Czechia 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Czechia 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Denmark Denmark $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
DR Congo DR Congo 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Ecuador Ecuador 0.0048 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Ecuador 0.0054 $56 1 metaculus
Crypto.com us
Egypt Egypt 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.0025 $7.41M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0025 $64.93M $10.82M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Egypt no 0.997 $7.41M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.997 $64.93M $10.82M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Egypt Egypt 0.0021 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Egypt 0.0032 $56 1 metaculus
Crypto.com us
England England 0.130 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.145 $13.6k 1 kalshi
Metaculus us
England 0.108 $176 1 metaculus
Polymarket us
Yes 0.129 $45.01M $3.08M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT England no 0.855 $13.6k 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.871 $45.01M $3.08M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
England England 0.135 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Futuur curacao
England 0.150 $2.7k 1 futuur
Metaculus us
England 0.076 $56 1 metaculus
Limitless Exchange
Europe Europe 0.705 $2.2k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Yes 0.715 $470.3k $237.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Europe No 0.285 $470.3k $237.8k polymarket
Crypto.com us
France France 0.190 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.195 $30.7k 1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
France 0.174 $516.6k 1 limitless
Metaculus us
France 0.192 $176 1 metaculus
Polymarket us
Yes 0.185 $59.27M $4.28M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT France no 0.805 $30.7k 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.815 $59.27M $4.28M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
France France 0.200 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Futuur curacao
France 0.230 $2.7k 1 futuur
Metaculus us
France 0.186 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Georgia Georgia $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Germany Germany 0.061 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Futuur curacao
Germany 0.120 $2.7k 1 futuur
Metaculus us
Germany 0.048 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Ghana Ghana 0.0012 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Ghana 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Greece Greece $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Kalshi us
Group yes 0.199 $1.28M 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Group no 0.801 $1.28M 1 kalshi
Crypto.com us
Haiti Haiti 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.0010 $7.19M 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Haiti no 0.999 $7.19M 1 kalshi
Betfair Exchange uk
Haiti Haiti 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Haiti 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Hungary Hungary $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Iran Iran 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Iran 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Crypto.com us
Iraq Iraq 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.010 $153.3k 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0005 $1.7k $29.9k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Iraq no 0.990 $153.3k 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 1.000 $1.7k $29.9k polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Iraq Iraq 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Iraq 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Italy Italy $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast 0.0043 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Jamaica Jamaica $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Crypto.com us
Japan Japan 0.020 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.015 $9.27M 1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
Japan 0.018 $516.6k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Yes 0.017 $57.39M $2.68M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Japan no 0.985 $9.27M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.983 $57.39M $2.68M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Japan Japan 0.015 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Japan 0.014 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Jordan Jordan 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Jordan 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Metaculus us
Korea Republic Korea Republic 0.0021 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Kosovo Kosovo $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Mexico Mexico 0.017 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Mexico 0.015 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Morocco Morocco 0.021 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Morocco 0.013 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Netherlands Netherlands 0.042 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Netherlands 0.041 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
New Caledonia New Caledonia $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
New Zealand New Zealand 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
New Zealand 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Futuur curacao
Neymar Yes 0.360 $986 1 insufficient data futuur
Kalshi us
yes 0.010 $36.8k 1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
Yes 0.850 $3.9k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Yes 0.848 $3.27M $234.6k polymarket
Futuur curacao
NOT Neymar No 0.640 $986 1 insufficient data futuur
Kalshi us
no 0.990 $36.8k 1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
No 0.150 $3.9k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
No 0.152 $3.27M $234.6k polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Nigeria Nigeria $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Polymarket us
No No 0.999 $272.19M $130.41M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
North Macedonia North Macedonia $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Limitless Exchange
North America North America 0.041 $2.2k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Yes 0.036 $678.3k $112.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT North America No 0.964 $678.3k $112.7k polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Crypto.com us
Norway Norway 0.030 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.026 $8.91M 1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
Norway 0.028 $516.6k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Yes 0.027 $54.57M $3.03M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Norway no 0.974 $8.91M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.973 $54.57M $3.03M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Norway Norway 0.024 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Norway 0.014 $56 1 metaculus
Limitless Exchange
Oceania Oceania 0.0080 $2.2k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0030 $1.45M $109.4k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Oceania No 0.997 $1.45M $109.4k polymarket
Crypto.com us
Other Spain 0.028 1 1 crypto_com
Limitless Exchange
Spain 0.038 $11.37M 1 limitless
Metaculus us
Germany 0.100 $1.2k 1 metaculus
Crypto.com us
Panama Panama 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.010 $50 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0005 $19.96M $25.65M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Panama no 0.990 $50 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.999 $19.96M $25.65M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Panama Panama 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Panama 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Paraguay Paraguay 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Paraguay 0.011 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Peru Peru $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Poland Poland $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Portugal Portugal 0.077 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Futuur curacao
Portugal 0.160 $2.7k 1 futuur
Metaculus us
Portugal 0.048 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Qatar Qatar 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Qatar 0.0021 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Republic of Ireland Republic of Ireland $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Romania Romania $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Saudi Arabia 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Crypto.com us
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.030 $66 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0005 $56.22M $14.72M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Saudi Arabia no 0.970 $66 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.999 $56.22M $14.72M polymarket
Crypto.com us
Scotland Scotland 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.060 $1.2k 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0025 $58.16M $13.65M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Scotland no 0.940 $1.2k 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.998 $58.16M $13.65M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Scotland Scotland 0.0022 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Scotland 0.0021 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Senegal Senegal 0.0071 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Senegal 0.015 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Serbia Serbia $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Slovakia Slovakia $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
South Africa South Africa 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
South Africa 0.0021 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
South Korea South Korea 0.0034 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Crypto.com us
South Africa South Africa 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.010 $53 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0005 $39.12M $21.33M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT South Africa no 0.990 $53 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 1.000 $39.12M $21.33M polymarket
Limitless Exchange
South America South America 0.205 $2.2k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Yes 0.195 $431.6k $160.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT South America No 0.805 $431.6k $160.1k polymarket
Crypto.com us
South Korea South Korea 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.0025 $11.86M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0035 $79.07M $5.21M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT South Korea no 0.997 $11.86M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.997 $79.07M $5.21M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Spain Spain 0.135 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Futuur curacao
Spain 0.210 $2.7k 1 futuur
Metaculus us
Spain 0.153 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Suriname Suriname $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Crypto.com us
Sweden Sweden 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.040 $175 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0055 $47.11M $9.49M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Sweden no 0.960 $175 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.994 $47.11M $9.49M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Sweden Sweden 0.0056 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Sweden 0.0032 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Switzerland Switzerland 0.010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Switzerland 0.012 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Tunisia Tunisia 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Tunisia 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Crypto.com us
Turkey Turkey 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.0035 $6.34M 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Turkey no 0.997 $6.34M 1 kalshi
Betfair Exchange uk
Turkey Turkey 0.0042 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Türkiye Türkiye 0.012 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Ukraine Ukraine $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Limitless Exchange
Unbeaten Yes 0.755 $81 1 limitless
Limitless Exchange
NOT Unbeaten No 0.245 $81 1 limitless
Betfair Exchange uk
United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Uruguay Uruguay 0.0056 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Uruguay 0.011 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
USA USA 0.022 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
USA 0.012 $56 1 metaculus
Crypto.com us
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan 0.010 1 1 crypto_com
Kalshi us
yes 0.0010 $2.19M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0005 $61.25M $19.28M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Uzbekistan no 0.999 $2.19M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.999 $61.25M $19.28M polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan 0.0010 $13.20M $1.19M betfair
Metaculus us
Uzbekistan 0.0010 $56 1 metaculus
Betfair Exchange uk
Venezuela Venezuela $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Betfair Exchange uk
Wales Wales $13.20M $1.19M insufficient data betfair
Futuur curacao
Will Neymar play at least one match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Will Neymar play at least one match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.680 $986 1 futuur
Polymarket us
Yes Yes 0.0009 $272.19M $130.41M polymarket

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: FIFA World ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • uzbekistan Uzbekistan
  • curacao Curaçao
  • cape_verde Cape Verde
  • haiti Haiti
  • norway Norway
  • congo_dr Congo DR
  • panama Panama
  • iraq Iraq
  • czechia Czechia
  • sweden Sweden
  • bosnia_herzegovina Bosnia-Herzegovina
  • oceania Oceania
  • asia Asia
  • other Other
  • europe Europe
  • south-africa South Africa
  • cape-verde Cape Verde
  • neymar Neymar
  • cristiano-ronaldo Cristiano Ronaldo
  • africa Africa
  • group Group
  • north-america North America
  • south-america South America
  • scotland Scotland
  • u-s U.S
  • which Which
  • saudi-arabia Saudi Arabia
  • france France
  • japan Japan
  • unbeaten Unbeaten
  • who Who
  • mega-market-final-tbd Mega-Market Final TBD
  • tbd TBD
  • mega-market-semi-finals Mega-Market Semi-Finals
  • england England
  • egypt Egypt
  • south-korea South Korea
  • turkey Turkey