Sports
FIFA World Cup 2026 winner
world_cup_2026_winner resolves 2026-07-19
- Category
- Sports
- Resolution basis
- fifa_final
- Canonical outcomes
- 36
- Linked markets
- 54 · 1 venue
National team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup in North America.
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Algeria Yes | 0.0035 | — | $19.46M | $5.99M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Algeria No | 0.997 | — | $19.46M | $5.99M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Argentina Yes | 0.088 | — | $15.42M | $1.74M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Argentina No | 0.912 | — | $15.42M | $1.74M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Australia Yes | 0.0025 | — | $19.99M | $6.02M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Australia No | 0.998 | — | $19.99M | $6.02M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Austria Yes | 0.0066 | — | $15.87M | $3.40M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Austria No | 0.993 | — | $15.87M | $3.40M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Belgium Yes | 0.020 | — | $14.68M | $2.39M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Belgium No | 0.980 | — | $14.68M | $2.39M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Brazil Yes | 0.087 | — | $16.19M | $1.79M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Brazil No | 0.913 | — | $16.19M | $1.79M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Canada Yes | 0.0065 | — | $20.40M | $5.79M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Canada No | 0.994 | — | $20.40M | $5.79M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Colombia Yes | 0.017 | — | $13.51M | $3.03M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Colombia No | 0.984 | — | $13.51M | $3.03M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Croatia Yes | 0.011 | — | $15.68M | $2.36M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Croatia No | 0.990 | — | $15.68M | $2.36M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Ecuador Yes | 0.0075 | — | $17.94M | $2.80M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ecuador No | 0.993 | — | $17.94M | $2.80M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Egypt Yes | 0.0045 | — | $21.09M | $5.52M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Egypt No | 0.996 | — | $21.09M | $5.52M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
England Yes | 0.111 | — | $14.60M | $1.61M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT England No | 0.889 | — | $14.60M | $1.61M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
France Yes | 0.162 | — | $22.54M | $412.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT France No | 0.838 | — | $22.54M | $412.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Germany Yes | 0.052 | — | $14.14M | $1.66M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Germany No | 0.948 | — | $14.14M | $1.66M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Ghana Yes | 0.0025 | — | $16.02M | $5.67M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ghana No | 0.998 | — | $16.02M | $5.67M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Iran Yes | 0.0032 | — | $21.61M | $5.91M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Iran No | 0.997 | — | $21.61M | $5.91M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Ivory Coast Yes | 0.0045 | — | $18.99M | $6.16M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ivory Coast No | 0.996 | — | $18.99M | $6.16M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Japan Yes | 0.022 | — | $17.89M | $1.06M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Japan No | 0.978 | — | $17.89M | $1.06M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Jordan Yes | 0.0025 | — | $23.59M | $6.22M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Jordan No | 0.998 | — | $23.59M | $6.22M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Mexico Yes | 0.011 | — | $16.17M | $2.60M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Mexico No | 0.989 | — | $16.17M | $2.60M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Morocco Yes | 0.018 | — | $17.15M | $1.38M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Morocco No | 0.982 | — | $17.15M | $1.38M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Netherlands Yes | 0.034 | — | $16.15M | $1.84M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Netherlands No | 0.966 | — | $16.15M | $1.84M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
New Zealand Yes | 0.0025 | — | $26.78M | $5.35M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT New Zealand No | 0.998 | — | $26.78M | $5.35M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Paraguay Yes | 0.0045 | — | $17.38M | $5.51M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Paraguay No | 0.996 | — | $17.38M | $5.51M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Portugal Yes | 0.074 | — | $16.71M | $1.33M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Portugal No | 0.926 | — | $16.71M | $1.33M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Qatar Yes | 0.0025 | — | $21.98M | $6.23M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Qatar No | 0.997 | — | $21.98M | $6.23M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Saudi Arabia Yes | 0.0025 | — | $24.84M | $5.60M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Saudi Arabia No | 0.998 | — | $24.84M | $5.60M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Scotland Yes | 0.0035 | — | $16.69M | $5.02M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Scotland No | 0.997 | — | $16.69M | $5.02M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Senegal Yes | 0.0076 | — | $15.18M | $3.09M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Senegal No | 0.992 | — | $15.18M | $3.09M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
South Korea Yes | 0.0045 | — | $20.66M | $4.55M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT South Korea No | 0.996 | — | $20.66M | $4.55M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Spain Yes | 0.153 | — | $17.78M | $1.07M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Spain No | 0.847 | — | $17.78M | $1.07M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Switzerland Yes | 0.0095 | — | $14.13M | $2.57M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Switzerland No | 0.991 | — | $14.13M | $2.57M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Tunisia Yes | 0.0036 | — | $19.71M | $6.52M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Tunisia No | 0.996 | — | $19.71M | $6.52M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Turkiye Yes | 0.0065 | — | $7.87M | $3.04M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Turkiye No | 0.994 | — | $7.87M | $3.04M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Uruguay Yes | 0.011 | — | $14.80M | $3.76M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Uruguay No | 0.990 | — | $14.80M | $3.76M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
USA Yes | 0.015 | — | $29.19M | $3.59M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT USA No | 0.985 | — | $29.19M | $3.59M | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- new-zealand New Zealand
- usa USA
- saudi-arabia Saudi Arabia
- jordan Jordan
- south-korea South Korea
- france France
- qatar Qatar
- australia Australia
- japan Japan
- ecuador Ecuador
- iran Iran
- egypt Egypt
- paraguay Paraguay
- scotland Scotland
- spain Spain
- canada Canada
- algeria Algeria
- portugal Portugal
- tunisia Tunisia
- mexico Mexico
- morocco Morocco
- netherlands Netherlands
- ghana Ghana
- austria Austria
- brazil Brazil
- ivory-coast Ivory Coast
- belgium Belgium
- uruguay Uruguay
- argentina Argentina
- senegal Senegal
- england England
- germany Germany
- switzerland Switzerland
- croatia Croatia
- colombia Colombia
- turkiye Turkiye
§ Linked markets
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #40: expansion: detected entity "New Zealand" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; tbd_* placeholder event
- External ID
- 558957
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $26.78M
- Status
- Active
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #47: expansion: detected entity "USA" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558943
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $29.19M
- Status
- Active
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #49: expansion: detected entity "Saudi Arabia" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558972
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $24.84M
- Status
- Active
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #51: expansion: detected entity "Jordan" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558962
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $23.59M
- Status
- Active
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #54: expansion: detected entity "South Korea" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558961
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $20.66M
- Status
- Active
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #59: expansion: detected entity "France" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558936
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $22.49M
- Status
- Active
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #60: expansion: detected entity "Qatar" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558971
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $21.96M
- Status
- Active
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #61: expansion: detected entity "Australia" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558958
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $19.99M
- Status
- Active
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #65: expansion: detected entity "Japan" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558949
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $17.85M
- Status
- Active
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #66: expansion: detected entity "Ecuador" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558955
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $17.94M
- Status
- Active
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #68: expansion: detected entity "Iran" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558959
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $21.54M
- Status
- Active
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #69: expansion: detected entity "Egypt" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558968
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $21.09M
- Status
- Active
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #70: expansion: detected entity "Paraguay" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558956
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $17.38M
- Status
- Active
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #71: expansion: detected entity "Scotland" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558973
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $16.69M
- Status
- Active
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #72: expansion: detected entity "Spain" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558934
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $17.77M
- Status
- Active
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #74: expansion: detected entity "Canada" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558952
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $20.40M
- Status
- Active
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #79: expansion: detected entity "Algeria" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558969
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $19.46M
- Status
- Active
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #80: expansion: detected entity "Portugal" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558940
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $16.69M
- Status
- Active
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #81: expansion: detected entity "Tunisia" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558954
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $19.69M
- Status
- Active
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #84: expansion: detected entity "Mexico" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558945
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $16.15M
- Status
- Active
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #85: expansion: detected entity "Morocco" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558963
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $17.12M
- Status
- Active
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #86: expansion: detected entity "Netherlands" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558941
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $16.12M
- Status
- Active
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #88: expansion: detected entity "Ghana" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558967
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $16.02M
- Status
- Active
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #91: expansion: detected entity "Austria" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558975
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $15.85M
- Status
- Active
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #92: expansion: detected entity "Brazil" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558937
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $16.16M
- Status
- Active
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #93: expansion: detected entity "Ivory Coast" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558966
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $18.99M
- Status
- Active
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #96: expansion: detected entity "Belgium" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558946
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $14.66M
- Status
- Active
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #97: expansion: detected entity "Uruguay" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558944
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $14.80M
- Status
- Active
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #98: expansion: detected entity "Argentina" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558938
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $15.39M
- Status
- Active
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #100: expansion: detected entity "Senegal" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558965
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $15.16M
- Status
- Active
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #102: expansion: detected entity "England" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558935
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $14.59M
- Status
- Active
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #104: expansion: detected entity "Germany" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558939
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $14.13M
- Status
- Active
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #106: expansion: detected entity "Switzerland" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558974
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $14.13M
- Status
- Active
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #107: expansion: detected entity "Croatia" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558976
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $15.68M
- Status
- Active
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #111: expansion: detected entity "Colombia" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558947
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $13.51M
- Status
- Active
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #141: expansion: detected entity "Turkiye" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 558985
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $7.87M
- Status
- Active
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #7789: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.53 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=iran
- External ID
- 2060869
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $42.6k
- Status
- Active
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #7707: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=france
- External ID
- 839959
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $50.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #7865: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=japan
- External ID
- 839435
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $36.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #7910: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=argentina
- External ID
- 839969
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $33.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #7934: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=brazil
- External ID
- 839399
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $31.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #7969: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=netherlands
- External ID
- 839434
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #7997: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=morocco
- External ID
- 839400
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8043: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=portugal
- External ID
- 840171
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $25.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8083: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=iran
- External ID
- 839441
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8169: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=tunisia
- External ID
- 839437
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8170: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=qatar
- External ID
- 839396
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8199: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=belgium
- External ID
- 839439
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8226: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mexico
- External ID
- 839357
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8288: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=germany
- External ID
- 839429
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8302: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=senegal
- External ID
- 839960
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Status
- Active
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8309: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=england
- External ID
- 840394
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8369: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=austria
- External ID
- 839971
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
proposal #8387: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=0.27 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=spain
- External ID
- 839561
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Status
- Active