Macro Indicators
Will Elon Musk Become a Trillionaire Before 2027?
elon_musk_trillionaire_2027 resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- Macro Indicators
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 2 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
no no | 0.0050 | — | $441.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.0005 | — | $692.6k | $126.2k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
yes yes | 0.995 | — | $441.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 1.000 | — | $692.6k | $126.2k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?
proposal #5101: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=0.95 · year_overlap
- External ID
- KXMUSKTRILLION-27
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $441.1k
- Status
- Inactive
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
proposal #5102: title_jaccard=0.80 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap
- External ID
- 836162
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $692.6k
- Status
- Inactive