Open
US Elections
2028 US Presidential Election Winning Party
2028_us_presidential_party_winner resolves 2028-11-07
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 5
- Linked markets
- 2 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #9688: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=2 · candidates=4 · joke_filtered=5 · signature=[2028,party,presidential,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Democrats Yes | 0.605 | — | $740.0k | $135.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Democrats No | 0.395 | — | $740.0k | $135.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Republicans Yes | 0.385 | — | $973.7k | $173.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Republicans No | 0.615 | — | $973.7k | $173.4k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- democrats Democrats
- elon_musk Elon Musk
- republicans Republicans
- u_s U.S
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #9773: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=republicans
- External ID
- 565064
- Matched
- 52m ago
- Volume
- $973.7k
- Status
- Active
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #9774: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=democrats
- External ID
- 565065
- Matched
- 52m ago
- Volume
- $740.0k
- Status
- Active