US Elections
2028 US Presidential Election Winning Party
2028_us_presidential_party_winner resolves 2028-11-07
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 5
- Linked markets
- 3 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Any Other Any Other | 0.023 | — | $134.9k | $197.7k | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Democratic Party Democratic Party | 0.602 | — | $134.9k | $197.7k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Democrats Yes | 0.585 | — | $814.2k | $203.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Democrats No | 0.415 | — | $814.2k | $203.3k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Republican Party Republican Party | 0.388 | — | $134.9k | $197.7k | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Republicans Yes | 0.405 | — | $1.04M | $269.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Republicans No | 0.595 | — | $1.04M | $269.1k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2028 United States presidential election ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- democrats Democrats
- elon_musk Elon Musk
- republicans Republicans
- u_s U.S
- other Other
§ Linked markets
USA - Presidential Election 2028 · Winning Party
proposal #6710: chain from discovery proposal #6597: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1.236263390
- Matched
- 39d ago
- Volume
- $134.9k
- Status
- Active
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #9773: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=republicans
- External ID
- 565064
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Status
- Active
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
proposal #9774: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=democrats
- External ID
- 565065
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $814.2k
- Status
- Active