Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №034 · Last revised 2026-04-28
Open

Entertainment

Actress Cast as Britney Spears in Jon M. Chu Biopic

britney_spears_biopic_actress_2031 resolves 2031-01-01

Category
Entertainment
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
11
Linked markets
10 · 1 venue

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #916: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets ask mutually exclusive questions about the lead actress in the same Britney Spears biopic project. They form a coherent categorical event with clear resolution criteria. · cluster=3

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
Addison Rae yes 0.135 $961 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Addison Rae no 0.865 $961 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Anya Taylor-Joy yes 0.060 $236 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Anya Taylor-Joy no 0.940 $236 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Chloë Grace Moretz yes 0.070 $408 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Chloë Grace Moretz no 0.930 $408 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Emma Roberts yes 0.085 $288 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Emma Roberts no 0.915 $288 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Florence Pugh yes 0.080 $999 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Florence Pugh no 0.920 $999 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Margot Robbie yes 0.100 $315 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Margot Robbie no 0.900 $315 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Millie Bobby Brown yes 0.110 $328 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Millie Bobby Brown no 0.890 $328 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Olivia Holt yes 0.255 $622 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Olivia Holt no 0.745 $622 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Sabrina Carpenter yes 0.075 $234 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Sabrina Carpenter no 0.925 $234 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Sydney Sweeney yes 0.100 $319 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Sydney Sweeney no 0.900 $319 1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • margot_robbie Margot Robbie
  • addison_rae Addison Rae
  • olivia_holt Olivia Holt
  • other Other
  • millie-bobby-brown Millie Bobby Brown
  • emma-roberts Emma Roberts
  • florence-pugh Florence Pugh
  • sydney-sweeney Sydney Sweeney
  • sabrina-carpenter Sabrina Carpenter
  • chloe-grace-moretz Chloë Grace Moretz
  • anya-taylor-joy Anya Taylor-Joy