Entertainment
Actress Cast as Britney Spears in Jon M. Chu Biopic
britney_spears_biopic_actress_2031 resolves 2031-01-01
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 11
- Linked markets
- 10 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #916: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets ask mutually exclusive questions about the lead actress in the same Britney Spears biopic project. They form a coherent categorical event with clear resolution criteria. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Addison Rae yes | 0.135 | — | $961 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Addison Rae no | 0.865 | — | $961 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Anya Taylor-Joy yes | 0.060 | — | $236 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Anya Taylor-Joy no | 0.940 | — | $236 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Chloë Grace Moretz yes | 0.070 | — | $408 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Chloë Grace Moretz no | 0.930 | — | $408 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Emma Roberts yes | 0.085 | — | $288 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Emma Roberts no | 0.915 | — | $288 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Florence Pugh yes | 0.080 | — | $999 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Florence Pugh no | 0.920 | — | $999 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Margot Robbie yes | 0.100 | — | $315 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Margot Robbie no | 0.900 | — | $315 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Millie Bobby Brown yes | 0.110 | — | $328 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Millie Bobby Brown no | 0.890 | — | $328 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Olivia Holt yes | 0.255 | — | $622 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Olivia Holt no | 0.745 | — | $622 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sabrina Carpenter yes | 0.075 | — | $234 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sabrina Carpenter no | 0.925 | — | $234 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sydney Sweeney yes | 0.100 | — | $319 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sydney Sweeney no | 0.900 | — | $319 | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- margot_robbie Margot Robbie
- addison_rae Addison Rae
- olivia_holt Olivia Holt
- other Other
- millie-bobby-brown Millie Bobby Brown
- emma-roberts Emma Roberts
- florence-pugh Florence Pugh
- sydney-sweeney Sydney Sweeney
- sabrina-carpenter Sabrina Carpenter
- chloe-grace-moretz Chloë Grace Moretz
- anya-taylor-joy Anya Taylor-Joy
§ Linked markets
Will Margot Robbie perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
proposal #986: title_jaccard=0.45 · date_prox=0.98 · canonical_outcome=margot_robbie
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-MAR
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $315
- Status
- Active
Will Addison Rae perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
proposal #987: title_jaccard=0.45 · date_prox=0.98 · canonical_outcome=addison_rae
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-ADD
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $961
- Status
- Active
Will Olivia Holt perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
proposal #988: title_jaccard=0.45 · date_prox=0.98 · canonical_outcome=olivia_holt
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-OLI
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $622
- Status
- Active
Will Millie Bobby Brown perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
proposal #1151: expansion: detected entity "Millie Bobby Brown" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-MIL
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $328
- Status
- Active
Will Emma Roberts perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
proposal #1152: expansion: detected entity "Emma Roberts" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-EMM
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $288
- Status
- Active
Will Florence Pugh perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
proposal #1153: expansion: detected entity "Florence Pugh" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-FLO
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $999
- Status
- Active
Will Sydney Sweeney perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
proposal #1154: expansion: detected entity "Sydney Sweeney" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-SYD
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $319
- Status
- Active
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
proposal #1155: expansion: detected entity "Sabrina Carpenter" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-SAB
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $234
- Status
- Active
Will Chloë Grace Moretz perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
proposal #1156: expansion: detected entity "Chloë Grace Moretz" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-CHL
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $408
- Status
- Active
Will Anya Taylor-Joy perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu?
proposal #1157: expansion: detected entity "Anya Taylor-Joy" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLEBRITNEY-ANY
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $236
- Status
- Active