Entertainment
Target of Next Netflix Celebrity Roast Special
next_netflix_roast_target_2030 resolves 2030-01-01
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 3 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #923: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets all ask about the same event (next Netflix roast special) with identical resolution dates, differing only in the celebrity target. Forms coherent categorical event. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Elon Musk yes | 0.010 | — | $3.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Elon Musk no | 0.990 | — | $3.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Joe Rogan yes | 0.020 | — | $6.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Joe Rogan no | 0.980 | — | $6.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Taylor Swift yes | 0.010 | — | $592 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Taylor Swift no | 0.990 | — | $592 | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- elon_musk Elon Musk
- taylor_swift Taylor Swift
- joe_rogan Joe Rogan
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will Elon Musk be the primary target of the roast and whose name appears in the official title or promotional materials of the roast special at the next Netflix-produced live or recorded celebrity roast special released on Netflix?
proposal #989: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=0.99 · canonical_outcome=elon_musk
- External ID
- KXROASTSUBJECT-30JAN01-ELO
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Taylor Swift be the primary target of the roast and whose name appears in the official title or promotional materials of the roast special at the next Netflix-produced live or recorded celebrity roast special released on Netflix?
proposal #990: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=0.99 · canonical_outcome=taylor_swift
- External ID
- KXROASTSUBJECT-30JAN01-TAY
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $592
- Status
- Active
Will Joe Rogan be the primary target of the roast and whose name appears in the official title or promotional materials of the roast special at the next Netflix-produced live or recorded celebrity roast special released on Netflix?
proposal #991: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=0.99 · canonical_outcome=joe_rogan
- External ID
- KXROASTSUBJECT-30JAN01-JOE
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Status
- Active