Entertainment
Next James Bond Film Villain Actor
next_james_bond_film_villain_actor resolves 2031-01-01
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 5
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #5309: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three individual-actor binary markets on the same underlying categorical event: which actor will play the villain in the next Bond film. Same resolution date, same venue, unambiguous race structure. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Oscar Isaac yes | 0.125 | — | $31 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Oscar Isaac no | 0.875 | — | $31 | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- peter_dinklage Peter Dinklage
- rosamund_pike Rosamund Pike
- idris_elba Idris Elba
- other Other
- oscar-isaac Oscar Isaac
§ Linked markets
Will Oscar Isaac perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?
proposal #5551: expansion: detected entity "Oscar Isaac" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-OSC
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $31
- Status
- Active