Entertainment
Best Actor winner at the 99th Academy Awards
oscar_2027_best_actor resolves 2027-03-07
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- academy_ceremony
- Canonical outcomes
- 10
- Linked markets
- 10 · 2 venues
Winner of Best Actor in a Leading Role at the 99th Academy Awards ceremony.
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Adam Driver yes | 0.060 | — | $22 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Adam Driver no | 0.940 | — | $22 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Andrew Scott yes | 0.060 | — | $15 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Andrew Scott no | 0.940 | — | $15 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Brad Pitt yes | 0.080 | — | $167 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Brad Pitt no | 0.920 | — | $167 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Channing Tatum yes | 0.060 | — | $34 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Channing Tatum no | 0.940 | — | $34 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Charles Melton yes | 0.060 | — | $130 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Charles Melton no | 0.940 | — | $130 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
John Malkovich yes | 0.250 | — | $4.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT John Malkovich no | 0.750 | — | $4.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Josh O'Connor yes | 0.050 | — | $230 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Josh O'Connor no | 0.950 | — | $230 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Keanu Reeves yes | 0.060 | — | $22 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Keanu Reeves no | 0.940 | — | $22 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Manifold Markets
us
|
Ralph Fiennes yes | 0.109 | — | $2 | $1 | manifold | |
|
Manifold Markets
us
|
NOT Ralph Fiennes no | 0.891 | — | $2 | $1 | manifold | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sebastian Stan yes | 0.045 | — | $1.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sebastian Stan no | 0.955 | — | $1.3k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- ralph-fiennes Ralph Fiennes
- john-malkovich John Malkovich
- josh-oconnor Josh O'Connor
- andrew-scott Andrew Scott
- charles-melton Charles Melton
- channing-tatum Channing Tatum
- sebastian-stan Sebastian Stan
- keanu-reeves Keanu Reeves
- adam-driver Adam Driver
- brad-pitt Brad Pitt
§ Linked markets
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the Oscars?
proposal #4181: expansion: detected entity "John Malkovich" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTO-27-JOH
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the Oscars?
proposal #4182: expansion: detected entity "Josh O'Connor" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTO-27-JOS
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $230
- Status
- Active
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the Oscars?
proposal #4183: expansion: detected entity "Andrew Scott" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTO-27-AND
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $15
- Status
- Active
Will Charles Melton win Best Actor at the Oscars?
proposal #4184: expansion: detected entity "Charles Melton" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTO-27-CHA
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $130
- Status
- Active
Will Channing Tatum win Best Actor at the Oscars?
proposal #4185: expansion: detected entity "Channing Tatum" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTO-27-CHAN
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $34
- Status
- Active
Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the Oscars?
proposal #4186: expansion: detected entity "Sebastian Stan" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTO-27-SEB
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Keanu Reeves win Best Actor at the Oscars?
proposal #4187: expansion: detected entity "Keanu Reeves" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTO-27-KEA
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $22
- Status
- Active
Will Adam Driver win Best Actor at the Oscars?
proposal #4188: expansion: detected entity "Adam Driver" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTO-27-ADA
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $22
- Status
- Active
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the Oscars?
proposal #4189: expansion: detected entity "Brad Pitt" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTO-27-BRA
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $167
- Status
- Active
Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?
proposal #291: expansion: detected entity "Ralph Fiennes" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; tbd_* placeholder event; contest_cue matched
- External ID
- wzCDjCx3KbjGEQ7X3qGK
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2
- Status
- Active