Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №130 · Last revised 2026-04-28
Open

Entertainment

Next James Bond Film Villain Actor

next_james_bond_villain_actor resolves 2031-01-01

Category
Entertainment
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
4
Linked markets
2 · 1 venue

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #5310: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three individual-candidate binary markets on the same underlying event (next Bond villain casting). Canonical categorical event with observed candidates plus 'other' catch-all. · cluster=3

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
Barry Keoghan yes 0.130 — $466 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Barry Keoghan no 0.870 — $466 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Cillian Murphy yes 0.255 — $396 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Cillian Murphy no 0.745 — $396 —1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • barry_keoghan Barry Keoghan
  • cillian_murphy Cillian Murphy
  • oscar_isaac Oscar Isaac
  • other Other