Entertainment
Next James Bond Film Villain Actor
next_james_bond_villain_actor resolves 2031-01-01
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 8
- Linked markets
- 7 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Barry Keoghan yes | 0.140 | — | $513 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Barry Keoghan no | 0.860 | — | $513 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Cillian Murphy yes | 0.235 | — | $571 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Cillian Murphy no | 0.765 | — | $571 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Peter Dinklage yes | 0.100 | — | $975 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Peter Dinklage no | 0.900 | — | $975 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Adam Driver yes | 0.080 | — | $281 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Adam Driver no | 0.920 | — | $281 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Idris Elba yes | 0.160 | — | $63 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Idris Elba no | 0.840 | — | $63 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Oscar Isaac yes | 0.130 | — | $63 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Oscar Isaac no | 0.870 | — | $63 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Rosamund Pike yes | 0.105 | — | $279 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Rosamund Pike no | 0.895 | — | $279 | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: James Bond villains ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- barry_keoghan Barry Keoghan
- cillian_murphy Cillian Murphy
- oscar_isaac Oscar Isaac
- other Other
- pike Rosamund Pike
- elba Idris Elba
- driver Adam Driver
- dinklage Peter Dinklage
§ Linked markets
Will Barry Keoghan perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?
proposal #5570: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.98 · canonical_outcome=barry_keoghan
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-BAR
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $513
- Status
- Active
Will Cillian Murphy perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?
proposal #5571: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.98 · canonical_outcome=cillian_murphy
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-CIL
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $571
- Status
- Active
Will Rosamund Pike perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?
proposal #5574: backfill: dark-surface market named "Rosamund Pike" matches event "next_james_bond_villain_actor" (jaccard=0.56)
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-ROS
- Matched
- 33d ago
- Volume
- $279
- Status
- Active
Will Idris Elba perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?
proposal #5575: backfill: dark-surface market named "Idris Elba" matches event "next_james_bond_villain_actor" (jaccard=0.56)
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-IDR
- Matched
- 33d ago
- Volume
- $63
- Status
- Active
Will Adam Driver perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?
proposal #5576: backfill: dark-surface market named "Adam Driver" matches event "next_james_bond_villain_actor" (jaccard=0.56)
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-ADA
- Matched
- 33d ago
- Volume
- $281
- Status
- Active
Will Peter Dinklage perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?
proposal #5573: backfill: dark-surface market named "Peter Dinklage" matches event "next_james_bond_villain_actor" (jaccard=0.56)
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-PET
- Matched
- 33d ago
- Volume
- $975
- Status
- Active
Will Oscar Isaac perform as Villain in the next James Bond film?
proposal #5572: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=oscar_isaac
- External ID
- KXPERFORMROLE007-VILLAIN-OSC
- Matched
- 19d ago
- Volume
- $63
- Status
- Active