Entertainment
Actress Oscars Best
actress_oscars_best resolves 2027-12-31
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 11
- Linked markets
- 8 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #4401: discovery: cluster of 10 markets · shared=[actress,oscars,best] · category=entertainment
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Cynthia Erivo yes | 0.080 | — | $123 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Cynthia Erivo no | 0.920 | — | $123 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Dakota Johnson yes | 0.060 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Dakota Johnson no | 0.940 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Joan Collins yes | 0.060 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Joan Collins no | 0.940 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Kirsten Dunst yes | 0.060 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Kirsten Dunst no | 0.940 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Penélope Cruz yes | 0.060 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Penélope Cruz no | 0.940 | — | —1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Renate Reinsve yes | 0.265 | — | $1.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Renate Reinsve no | 0.735 | — | $1.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sandra Hüller yes | 0.100 | — | $914 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sandra Hüller no | 0.900 | — | $914 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Scarlett Johansson yes | 0.060 | — | $9 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Scarlett Johansson no | 0.940 | — | $9 | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- renate-reinsve Renate Reinsve
- cynthia-erivo Cynthia Erivo
- natalie-portman Natalie Portman
- sandra-huller Sandra Hüller
- joan-collins Joan Collins
- scarlett-johansson Scarlett Johansson
- kirsten-dunst Kirsten Dunst
- penelope-cruz Penélope Cruz
- dakota-johnson Dakota Johnson
- tie Tie
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the Oscars?
proposal #4823: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=renate-reinsve
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTR-27-REN
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the Oscars?
proposal #4824: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=cynthia-erivo
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTR-27-CYN
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $123
- Status
- Active
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the Oscars?
proposal #4826: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=sandra-huller
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTR-27-SAN
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $914
- Status
- Active
Will Joan Collins win Best Actress at the Oscars?
proposal #4827: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=joan-collins
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTR-27-JOA
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Scarlett Johansson win Best Actress at the Oscars?
proposal #4828: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=scarlett-johansson
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTR-27-SCA
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $9
- Status
- Active
Will Kirsten Dunst win Best Actress at the Oscars?
proposal #4829: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=kirsten-dunst
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTR-27-KIR
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Dakota Johnson win Best Actress at the Oscars?
proposal #4831: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=dakota-johnson
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTR-27-DAK
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Actress at the Oscars?
proposal #4830: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=penelope-cruz
- External ID
- KXOSCARACTR-27-PEN
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active