Entertainment
Picture Oscars Best
picture_oscars_best resolves 2027-12-31
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 6
- Linked markets
- 4 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #4397: discovery: cluster of 5 markets · shared=[picture,oscars,best] · category=entertainment
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Digger yes | 0.045 | — | $25.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Digger no | 0.955 | — | $25.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Love Boosters yes | 0.010 | — | $1.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Love Boosters no | 0.990 | — | $1.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Project Hail Mary yes | 0.080 | — | $68.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Project Hail Mary no | 0.920 | — | $68.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Wild Horse Nine yes | 0.035 | — | $9.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Wild Horse Nine no | 0.965 | — | $9.4k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- digger Digger
- wild-horse-nine Wild Horse Nine
- project-hail-mary Project Hail Mary
- love-boosters Love Boosters
- fatherland Fatherland
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars?
proposal #5167: title_jaccard=0.75 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=digger
- External ID
- KXOSCARPIC-27-DIG
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Status
- Active
Will I Love Boosters win Best Picture at the Oscars?
proposal #5170: title_jaccard=0.60 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=love-boosters
- External ID
- KXOSCARPIC-27-ILO
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars?
proposal #5168: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=wild-horse-nine
- External ID
- KXOSCARPIC-27-WIL
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars?
proposal #5169: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=0.98 · category=entertainment · canonical_outcome=project-hail-mary
- External ID
- KXOSCARPIC-27-PRO
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $68.8k
- Status
- Active