Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №011 · Last revised 2026-04-26
Open

Geopolitics

Zelensky in power at year-end 2026

zelensky_in_power_eoy_2026 resolves 2026-12-31

Category
Geopolitics
Resolution basis
credible_press_reporting
Canonical outcomes
2
Linked markets
1 · 1 venue

Is Volodymyr Zelensky still the head of the Ukrainian state on 2026-12-31?

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Polymarket us
no Yes 0.155 $2.15M $77.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
yes No 0.845 $2.15M $77.8k polymarket

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • yes yes
  • no no