Event №189 · Last revised 2026-05-03
Open

Geopolitics

Zelensky in power at year-end 2026

zelensky_in_power_eoy_2026 resolves 2026-12-31

Category
Geopolitics
Resolution basis
credible_press_reporting
Canonical outcomes
2
Linked markets
1 · 1 venue

Is Volodymyr Zelensky still the head of the Ukrainian state on 2026-12-31?

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Polymarket us
no Yes 0.105 $2.46M $55.6k polymarket
Polymarket us
yes No 0.895 $2.46M $55.6k polymarket

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: Volodymyr Zelensky ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • yes yes
  • no no