Geopolitics
Will Russia Capture Kostyantynivka by April 2026
russia_capture_kostyantynivka resolves 2026-04-30
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 0
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6605: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=1 · candidates=0 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[russia,capture,kostyantynivka]
§ Cross-venue price panel
No linked markets yet. As Storm's matcher pairs venue markets to this event, the cross-venue price panel will populate here.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
No markets have been linked to this event yet. The matcher proposes candidate (market, event) pairings; Storm reviews each one autonomously before it becomes a link. Links appear here as venues are ingested and proposals clear.