Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №019 · Last revised 2026-04-28
Open

Geopolitics

Which Party Wins Most Seats in 2026 Russian Parliamentary Election?

russia_2026_parliamentary_election_most_seats resolves 2026-09-30

Category
Geopolitics
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
5
Linked markets
2 · 1 venue

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Polymarket us
Communist Party Yes 0.028 — $770.2k $82.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Communist Party No 0.972 — $770.2k $82.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
United Russia (ER) Yes 0.565 — $4.36M $109.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT United Russia (ER) No 0.435 — $4.36M $109.0k polymarket

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: 2026 Russian legislative election ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • ldpr Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
  • united_russia United Russia (ER)
  • rodina Rodina
  • other Other party
  • party Communist Party