Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №039 · Last revised 2026-04-26
Open

US Elections

Presidential Executive Orders 2025–2029

president_executive_orders_2025_2029 resolves 2029-01-21

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
4
Linked markets
2 · 1 venue

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #932: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets partition executive-order ranges over the 2025–2029 presidential term. Markets cover <300, 300–349, 350–399 but omit ≥400; added 'other' outcome to close the partition. Clean single event, though category slightly aspirational. · cluster=3

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
350–399 yes 0.105 $3.6k 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT 350–399 no 0.895 $3.6k 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Fewer than 300 yes 0.086 $9.4k 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Fewer than 300 no 0.914 $9.4k 1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • fewer_than_300 Fewer than 300
  • 300_to_349 300–349
  • 350_to_399 350–399
  • 400_or_more 400 or more