US Elections
Presidential Executive Orders 2025–2029
president_executive_orders_2025_2029 resolves 2029-01-21
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 2 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #932: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets partition executive-order ranges over the 2025–2029 presidential term. Markets cover <300, 300–349, 350–399 but omit ≥400; added 'other' outcome to close the partition. Clean single event, though category slightly aspirational. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
350–399 yes | 0.105 | — | $3.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT 350–399 no | 0.895 | — | $3.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Fewer than 300 yes | 0.086 | — | $9.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Fewer than 300 no | 0.914 | — | $9.4k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- fewer_than_300 Fewer than 300
- 300_to_349 300–349
- 350_to_399 350–399
- 400_or_more 400 or more
§ Linked markets
Will the President sign fewer than 300 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?
proposal #1001: title_jaccard=0.36 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=fewer_than_300
- External ID
- KXEOTRUMPTERM-29JAN20-300
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Status
- Active
Will the President sign between 350 and 399 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?
proposal #1003: title_jaccard=0.36 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=350_to_399
- External ID
- KXEOTRUMPTERM-29JAN20-374
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Status
- Active