Geopolitics
Next Country to Send Humans to the Moon
next_country_moon_landing_2031 resolves 2031-01-01
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 7
- Linked markets
- 3 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
no no | 0.519 | — | $91.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
yes yes | 0.481 | — | $91.1k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: Human Lunar Return ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- usa United States
- china China
- russia Russia
- india India
- japan Japan
- esa European Space Agency
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
proposal #5152: chain from discovery proposal #4772: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXMOONMAN-31-USA
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $75.2k
- Status
- Active
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
proposal #5153: chain from discovery proposal #4772: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXMOONMAN-31-R
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Status
- Active
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
proposal #5154: chain from discovery proposal #4772: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXMOONMAN-31-I
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Status
- Active