US Elections
Will Neomi Rao Become Next Supreme Court Justice
neomi_rao_supreme_court_justice resolves 2029-01-21
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 20 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6315: llm_two_phase:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · phase-b · matched=2 · venues=2 · candidates=0 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[neomi,rao,supreme,court,justice]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
no no | 0.946 | — | $177.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.965 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
yes yes | 0.054 | — | $177.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.035 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
Will Neomi Rao become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6437: title_jaccard=1.00 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-NR
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Amul Tharpar become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6474: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-AT
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $39.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Lawrence VanDyke become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6478: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-LVD
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Aileen Cannon become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6480: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-AC
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Kathryn Mizelle become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6481: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-KM
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Trevor McFadden become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6482: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-TMC
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Joan Larsen become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6486: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-JL
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Patrick Bumatay become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6488: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-PB
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Kenneth Lee become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6489: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-KL
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Barbara Lagoa become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6490: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-BL
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Britt Grant become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6491: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-BG
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Status
- Active
Will David Stras become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6494: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-DS
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Patrick Wyrick become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6497: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-PW
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Mike Lee become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6500: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-ML
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Allison Eid become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6503: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-AEID
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Stephanos Bibas become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6505: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-SBIB
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Stuart Kyle Duncan become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6477: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-SKD
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Allison Jones Rushing become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6495: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-AJR
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Kate Comerford Todd become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
proposal #6496: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=0.99
- External ID
- KXSCOURT-29-KCT
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Status
- Active
Who will be the next Supreme Court nominee? — Neomi Rao
proposal #6438: title_jaccard=0.63 · category=us_elections
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32305
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active