Open
Geopolitics
Iran Agrees to Surrender Enriched Uranium Stockpile by 2026
iran_enriched_uranium_surrender resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #9185: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=1 · candidates=0 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[iran,enriched,uranium,surrender,2026]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
no No | 0.595 | — | $521.9k | $96.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
yes Yes | 0.405 | — | $521.9k | $96.6k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
proposal #9239: title_jaccard=0.78 · date_prox=1.00 · category=geopolitics · year_overlap
- External ID
- 1731346
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $521.9k
- Status
- Active