Fed Policy & Rates
Ff_043026_3 Target Funds Rate Fed US
ff_043026_3_target_funds_rate_fed resolves 2026-04-29
- Category
- Fed Policy & Rates
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 11
- Linked markets
- 6 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ForecastEx
us
|
no no | 0.510 | — | —1 | $7.0k | forecastex | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Fed Pause–Pause–Cut Yes | 0.0005 | — | $245.8k | $41.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Fed Pause–Pause–Cut No | 1.000 | — | $245.8k | $41.0k | polymarket | |
|
ForecastEx
us
|
yes yes | 0.660 | — | —1 | $7.4k | forecastex |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- fed-funds-target-rate Fed Funds Target Rate
- ff-043026-3-625-yes FF_043026_3.625 YES
- ff-043026-3-625-no FF_043026_3.625 NO
- ff-043026-3-875-yes FF_043026_3.875 YES
- ff-043026-3-875-no FF_043026_3.875 NO
- ff-043026-3-375-yes FF_043026_3.375 YES
- ff-043026-3-375-no FF_043026_3.375 NO
- ff-043026-3-125-yes FF_043026_3.125 YES
- ff-043026-3-125-no FF_043026_3.125 NO
- other Other / No candidate named
- pause-pause-cut Fed Pause–Pause–Cut
§ Linked markets
US Fed Funds Target Rate — FF_043026_3.875 (YES)
proposal #4690: chain from discovery proposal #4294: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- FF_043026_3.875_YES
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
US Fed Funds Target Rate — FF_043026_3.875 (NO)
proposal #4691: chain from discovery proposal #4294: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- FF_043026_3.875_NO
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
US Fed Funds Target Rate — FF_043026_3.375 (YES)
proposal #4692: chain from discovery proposal #4294: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- FF_043026_3.375_YES
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
US Fed Funds Target Rate — FF_043026_3.375 (NO)
proposal #4693: chain from discovery proposal #4294: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- FF_043026_3.375_NO
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
US Fed Funds Target Rate — FF_043026_3.125 (YES)
proposal #4694: chain from discovery proposal #4294: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- FF_043026_3.125_YES
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
proposal #4980: expansion: detected entity "Fed Pause–Pause–Cut" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 950066
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $245.8k
- Status
- Inactive