Open
Fed Policy & Rates
Fed Funds Rate Trajectory 2026
fed_funds_rate_trajectory_2026 resolves 2027-01-01
- Category
- Fed Policy & Rates
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #10490: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=10 · venues=1 · candidates=0 · joke_filtered=2 · signature=[fed,funds,rate,2026]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Manifold Markets
us
|
no no | 0.750 | — | $17 | $1 | manifold | |
|
Manifold Markets
us
|
yes yes | 0.250 | — | $17 | $1 | manifold |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
Fed rate hike in 2026?
proposal #10539: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=fed_policy · year_overlap
- External ID
- sOL0ALQACq
- Matched
- 1h ago
- Volume
- $17
- Status
- Active