US Elections
2026 Minnesota Democratic Governor Primary
2026_minnesota_governor_democratic_primary resolves 2026-08-11
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 8
- Linked markets
- 12 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Amy Klobuchar yes | 0.978 | — | $120.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.951 | — | $15.9k | $13.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.980 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Amy Klobuchar no | 0.022 | — | $120.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.049 | — | $15.9k | $13.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.020 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Melvin Carter yes | 0.0040 | — | $2.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Melvin Carter no | 0.996 | — | $2.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Jacob Frey yes | 0.0050 | — | $10.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Jacob Frey no | 0.995 | — | $10.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Keith Ellison yes | 0.0050 | — | $16.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Keith Ellison no | 0.995 | — | $16.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Erin Murphy yes | 0.0060 | — | $3.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Erin Murphy no | 0.994 | — | $3.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Dean Phillips yes | 0.0045 | — | $9.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Dean Phillips no | 0.996 | — | $9.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Steve Simon yes | 0.0045 | — | $30.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0075 | — | $3.0k | $5.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.015 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Steve Simon no | 0.996 | — | $30.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.993 | — | $3.0k | $5.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.985 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
-
NOT Amy Klobuchar +54bpskalshi NO 0.022 · polymarket YES 0.951
§ Spread history
- 2m ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.951 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +54bps
- 14m ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.951 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +54bps
- 25m ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.951 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +59bps
- 37m ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.951 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +59bps
- 47m ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.951 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +59bps
- 1h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.951 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +59bps
- 1h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.949 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +74bps
- 1h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.951 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +59bps
- 11h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 11h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 11h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 11h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 12h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 12h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 12h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 12h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 12h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 13h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 13h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 13h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 13h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 13h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 13h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 14h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 14h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 14h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 14h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 14h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 15h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 15h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 15h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 15h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 15h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 16h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 16h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 16h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 16h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.942 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +149bps
- 16h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 17h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 17h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 17h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 17h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.941 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +154bps
- 17h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.948 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +84bps
- 17h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.948 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +84bps
- 18h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 18h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 18h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 18h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 18h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 19h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 19h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 19h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 19h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 19h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 20h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 20h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 20h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 20h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 20h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 21h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 21h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
- 21h ago Amy Klobuchar polymarket YES 0.950 · kalshi NO 0.022 mid-based +64bps
Showing most recent 124 observations within your tier's window. Subscribe to see deeper history →
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 United States elections ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- amy_klobuchar Amy Klobuchar
- keith_ellison Keith Ellison
- steve_simon Steve Simon
- other Other
- carter Melvin Carter
- murphy Erin Murphy
- frey Jacob Frey
- phillips Dean Phillips
§ Linked markets
Will Steve Simon be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #23675: title_jaccard=0.38 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=steve_simon · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMD-26-SSIM
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $30.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Dean Phillips be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #23677: expansion: detected entity "Dean Phillips" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMD-26-DPHI
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Jacob Frey be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #23676: expansion: detected entity "Jacob Frey" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMD-26-JFRE
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Amy Klobuchar be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #20792: title_jaccard=0.38 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=amy_klobuchar · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMD-26-AKLO
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $120.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Keith Ellison be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #20794: title_jaccard=0.38 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=keith_ellison · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMD-26-KELL
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Melvin Carter be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #20795: expansion: detected entity "Melvin Carter" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMD-26-MCAR
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Erin Murphy be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #20797: expansion: detected entity "Erin Murphy" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMD-26-EMUR
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Steve Simon win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
proposal #48254: title_jaccard=0.63 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=steve_simon · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- 1113979
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
proposal #46813: title_jaccard=0.63 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=amy_klobuchar · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- 1113978
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Democratic nomination for governor? — Keith Ellison
proposal #11392: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=keith_ellison · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33386
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Democratic nomination for governor? — Amy Klobuchar
proposal #11391: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=amy_klobuchar · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33387
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Democratic nomination for governor? — Steve Simon
proposal #11393: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=steve_simon · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33388
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active