Sports
2026 F1 Drivers' Champion
2026_f1_drivers_champion resolves 2026-12-06
- Category
- Sports
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 22
- Linked markets
- 19 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #886: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets on same event (2026 F1 championship), same resolution date, asking about different drivers. Forms coherent categorical market with 'other' for remaining candidates. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Alexander Albon Yes | 0.0045 | — | $9.04M | $770.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Alexander Albon No | 0.996 | — | $9.04M | $770.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Arvid Lindblad Yes | 0.0035 | — | $9.22M | $762.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Arvid Lindblad No | 0.997 | — | $9.22M | $762.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Carlos Sainz Jr Yes | 0.0035 | — | $8.03M | $733.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Carlos Sainz Jr No | 0.997 | — | $8.03M | $733.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Charles Leclerc Yes | 0.066 | — | $2.59M | $80.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Charles Leclerc No | 0.934 | — | $2.59M | $80.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Esteban Ocon Yes | 0.0035 | — | $6.88M | $739.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Esteban Ocon No | 0.997 | — | $6.88M | $739.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Fernando Alonso Yes | 0.0035 | — | $6.37M | $546.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Fernando Alonso No | 0.997 | — | $6.37M | $546.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Gabriel Bortoleto Yes | 0.0035 | — | $8.18M | $727.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Gabriel Bortoleto No | 0.997 | — | $8.18M | $727.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
George Russell Yes | 0.415 | — | $1.58M | $56.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT George Russell No | 0.585 | — | $1.58M | $56.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Kimi Antonelli Yes | 0.311 | — | $2.80M | $70.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Kimi Antonelli No | 0.689 | — | $2.80M | $70.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Lance Stroll Yes | 0.0025 | — | $8.24M | $776.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Lance Stroll No | 0.998 | — | $8.24M | $776.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Lando Norris Yes | 0.034 | — | $1.80M | $147.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Lando Norris No | 0.967 | — | $1.80M | $147.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Lewis Hamilton Yes | 0.046 | — | $3.43M | $75.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Lewis Hamilton No | 0.954 | — | $3.43M | $75.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Liam Lawson Yes | 0.0025 | — | $8.54M | $790.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Liam Lawson No | 0.998 | — | $8.54M | $790.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Max Verstappen Yes | 0.033 | — | $1.62M | $135.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Max Verstappen No | 0.967 | — | $1.62M | $135.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Nico Hülkenberg Yes | 0.0035 | — | $5.83M | $691.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Nico Hülkenberg No | 0.997 | — | $5.83M | $691.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Oliver Bearman Yes | 0.0025 | — | $8.93M | $800.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Oliver Bearman No | 0.998 | — | $8.93M | $800.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Oscar Piastri Yes | 0.047 | — | $1.52M | $74.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Oscar Piastri No | 0.953 | — | $1.52M | $74.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Pierre Gasly Yes | 0.0025 | — | $7.96M | $741.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Pierre Gasly No | 0.998 | — | $7.96M | $741.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Sergio Pérez Yes | 0.0035 | — | $7.97M | $715.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Sergio Pérez No | 0.997 | — | $7.97M | $715.4k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- valtteri_bottas Valtteri Bottas
- franco_colapinto Franco Colapinto
- alexander_albon Alexander Albon
- other Other Driver
- arvid-lindblad Arvid Lindblad
- oliver-bearman Oliver Bearman
- gabriel-bortoleto Gabriel Bortoleto
- liam-lawson Liam Lawson
- carlos-sainz Carlos Sainz Jr
- lance-stroll Lance Stroll
- pierre-gasly Pierre Gasly
- sergio-perez Sergio Pérez
- fernando-alonso Fernando Alonso
- esteban-ocon Esteban Ocon
- nico-hulkenberg Nico Hülkenberg
- lewis-hamilton Lewis Hamilton
- kimi-antonelli Kimi Antonelli
- charles-leclerc Charles Leclerc
- lando-norris Lando Norris
- george-russell George Russell
- max-verstappen Max Verstappen
- oscar-piastri Oscar Piastri
§ Linked markets
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #946: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=sports · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=alexander_albon
- External ID
- 898427
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $9.04M
- Status
- Active
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1054: expansion: detected entity "Arvid Lindblad" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898426
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $9.22M
- Status
- Active
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1055: expansion: detected entity "Oliver Bearman" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898420
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $8.93M
- Status
- Active
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1057: expansion: detected entity "Gabriel Bortoleto" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898422
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $8.18M
- Status
- Active
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1061: expansion: detected entity "Liam Lawson" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898425
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $8.54M
- Status
- Active
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1062: expansion: detected entity "Carlos Sainz Jr" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898428
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $8.03M
- Status
- Active
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1064: expansion: detected entity "Lance Stroll" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898418
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $8.24M
- Status
- Active
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1066: expansion: detected entity "Pierre Gasly" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898423
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $7.96M
- Status
- Active
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1068: expansion: detected entity "Sergio Pérez" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898430
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $7.97M
- Status
- Active
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1073: expansion: detected entity "Fernando Alonso" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898417
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $6.37M
- Status
- Active
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1075: expansion: detected entity "Esteban Ocon" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898419
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $6.88M
- Status
- Active
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1077: expansion: detected entity "Nico Hülkenberg" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898421
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $5.83M
- Status
- Active
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1093: expansion: detected entity "Lewis Hamilton" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898416
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $3.43M
- Status
- Active
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1095: expansion: detected entity "Kimi Antonelli" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898412
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.80M
- Status
- Active
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1100: expansion: detected entity "Charles Leclerc" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898415
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.59M
- Status
- Active
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1127: expansion: detected entity "Lando Norris" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898409
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.80M
- Status
- Active
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1138: expansion: detected entity "George Russell" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898411
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.58M
- Status
- Active
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1180: expansion: detected entity "Max Verstappen" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898413
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.62M
- Status
- Active
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
proposal #1344: expansion: detected entity "Oscar Piastri" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 898410
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.52M
- Status
- Active