Fed Policy & Rates
Next Federal Reserve Chair after Jerome Powell
fed_chair_after_powell resolves 2026-05-15
- Category
- Fed Policy & Rates
- Resolution basis
- senate_confirmation
- Canonical outcomes
- 9
- Linked markets
- 4 · 2 venues
Person confirmed by the Senate as Fed Chair following the end of Powell's term in May 2026.
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Judy Shelton yes | 0.0045 | — | $4.41M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Judy Shelton no | 0.996 | — | $4.41M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Stephen Miran Yes | 0.0005 | — | $1.54M | $190.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Stephen Miran No | 1.000 | — | $1.54M | $190.9k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Rick Rieder yes | 0.0010 | — | $73.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Rick Rieder no | 0.999 | — | $73.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Christopher Waller Yes | 0.0005 | — | $2.04M | $205.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Christopher Waller No | 1.000 | — | $2.04M | $205.1k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- warsh Kevin Warsh
- waller Christopher Waller
- bowman Michelle Bowman
- hassett Kevin Hassett
- malpass David Malpass
- other Other / No candidate named
- judy-shelton Judy Shelton
- rieder Rick Rieder
- miran Stephen Miran
§ Linked markets
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029?
proposal #362: expansion: detected entity "Judy Shelton" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXFEDCHAIRCONFIRM-JSHE
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $4.41M
- Status
- Active
Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029?
proposal #363: expansion: detected entity "Rick Rieder" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXFEDCHAIRCONFIRM-RRIE
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $73.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
proposal #190: title_jaccard=0.10 · category=fed_policy · canonical_outcome=waller · party_office_match=fed
- External ID
- 1500757
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $2.04M
- Status
- Active
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
proposal #552: expansion: detected entity "Stephen Miran" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1500767
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.54M
- Status
- Active