Fed Policy & Rates
Next Federal Reserve Chair after Jerome Powell
fed_chair_after_powell resolves 2026-05-15
- Category
- Fed Policy & Rates
- Resolution basis
- senate_confirmation
- Canonical outcomes
- 6
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Person confirmed by the Senate as Fed Chair following the end of Powell's term in May 2026.
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Christopher Waller Yes | 0.0005 | — | $2.23M | $1.22M | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Christopher Waller No | 1.000 | — | $2.23M | $1.22M | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: Federal Reserve System ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- warsh Kevin Warsh
- waller Christopher Waller
- bowman Michelle Bowman
- hassett Kevin Hassett
- malpass David Malpass
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
proposal #190: title_jaccard=0.10 · category=fed_policy · canonical_outcome=waller · party_office_match=fed
- External ID
- 1500757
- Matched
- 54d ago
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Status
- Inactive