US Elections
2028 U.S. Presidential Election Winner Party
2028_us_presidential_election_winner_party resolves 2029-01-07
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 3
- Linked markets
- 2 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #2236: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · All three markets ask which party wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election. Minor wording/date variations are inconsequential; the canonical event is unified. Latest resolution date used. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PredictIt
us
|
Democratic Party yes | 0.625 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Democratic Party no | 0.375 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Republican Party yes | 0.395 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Republican Party no | 0.605 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- democratic Democratic Party
- republican Republican Party
- other Other Party
§ Linked markets
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Democratic
proposal #2311: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=democratic
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32068
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Republican
proposal #2312: title_jaccard=0.67 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=republican
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32067
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active