US Elections
2028 Republican Presidential Ticket
2028_republican_presidential_ticket resolves 2028-11-07
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 15
- Linked markets
- 5 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #5333: llm_two_phase:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · phase-b · matched=21 · venues=2 · candidates=11 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2028,republican,presidential,ticket]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Katie Britt yes | 0.027 | — | $20.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Katie Britt no | 0.974 | — | $20.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Erika Kirk yes | 0.0030 | — | $493.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Erika Kirk no | 0.997 | — | $493.9k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
J.D Vance Yes | 0.387 | — | $12.51M | $142.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT J.D Vance No | 0.614 | — | $12.51M | $142.5k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Robert Kennedy Jr yes | 0.0065 | — | $8.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Robert Kennedy Jr no | 0.994 | — | $8.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sarah Huckabee Sanders yes | 0.057 | — | $54.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sarah Huckabee Sanders no | 0.944 | — | $54.5k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- marco_rubio Marco Rubio
- jd_vance JD Vance
- donald_trump Donald Trump
- erika_kirk Erika Kirk
- glenn_youngkin Glenn Youngkin
- tucker_carlson Tucker Carlson
- byron_donalds Byron Donalds
- elise_stefanik Elise Stefanik
- ron_desantis Ron DeSantis
- j_d_vance J.D Vance
- thomas_massie Thomas Massie
- other Other
- britt Katie Britt
- robert-kennedy Robert Kennedy Jr
- sanders Sarah Huckabee Sanders
§ Linked markets
Will Erika Kirk be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #5799: title_jaccard=0.11 · date_prox=0.98 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=erika_kirk · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- KXPRESNOMR-28-EKIR
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $493.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Katie Britt be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #5751: expansion: detected entity "Katie Britt" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXVPRESNOMR-28-KB
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #5738: expansion: detected entity "Robert Kennedy Jr" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXVPRESNOMR-28-RFK
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party?
proposal #5747: expansion: detected entity "Sarah Huckabee Sanders" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXVPRESNOMR-28-SHS
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $54.5k
- Status
- Active
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
proposal #5336: title_jaccard=0.50 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=j_d_vance · party_office_match=rep
- External ID
- 561974
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $12.51M
- Status
- Active