US Elections
2028 Republican Presidential Candidates Running
2028_republican_candidates_running resolves 2028-01-01
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 1
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6598: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=29 · venues=1 · candidates=0 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2028,republican,presidential,run,candidate]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Donald Trump yes | 0.145 | — | $29.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Donald Trump no | 0.855 | — | $29.6k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- trump Donald Trump
§ Linked markets
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2028?
proposal #6788: expansion: detected entity "Donald Trump" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched; tbd_* placeholder event
- External ID
- KXTRUMPRUN-28JAN01
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $29.6k
- Status
- Active