US Elections
2028 Presidential Democratic Election
2028_presidential_democratic_election resolves 2028-11-07
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 43
- Linked markets
- 7 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Electoral College yes | 0.065 | — | $3.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Electoral College no | 0.935 | — | $3.1k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- electoral-college Electoral College
- which Which
- potus POTUS
- gretchen-whitmer Gretchen Whitmer
- gavin-newsom Gavin Newsom
- mark-kelly Mark Kelly
- wes-moore Wes Moore
- elissa-slotkin Elissa Slotkin
- jon-ossoff Jon Ossoff
- alexandria-ocasio-cortez Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- pete-buttigieg Pete Buttigieg
- josh-shapiro Josh Shapiro
- kamala-harris Kamala Harris
- united-states United States
- nov Nov
- highest Highest
- marco-rubio Marco Rubio
- james-talarico James Talarico
- jd-vance JD Vance
- ocasio-cortez Ocasio-Cortez
- ro-khanna Ro Khanna
- graham-platner Graham Platner
- beto-orourke Beto O'Rourke
- stephen Stephen
- smith Smith
- andy-beshear Andy Beshear
- kim-kardashian Kim Kardashian
- donald-trump-jr Donald Trump Jr
- stephen-smith Stephen Smith
- who Who
- ruben-gallego Ruben Gallego
- two-term Two-term
- elon-musk Elon Musk
- u-s U.S
- zohran-mamdani Zohran Mamdani
- lebron-james LeBron James
- rahm-emanuel Rahm Emanuel
- jasmine-crockett Jasmine Crockett
- jb-pritzker JB Pritzker
- charles-schwab Charles Schwab
- j-b-pritzker J.B Pritzker
- michelle-obama Michelle Obama
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?
proposal #316889: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=electoral-college · party_office_match=dem
- External ID
- ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T10
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $636
- Status
- Active
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?
proposal #316885: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=electoral-college · party_office_match=dem
- External ID
- ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM91T130
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?
proposal #316886: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=electoral-college · party_office_match=dem
- External ID
- ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM61T90
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $378
- Status
- Active
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?
proposal #316887: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=electoral-college · party_office_match=dem
- External ID
- ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM31T60
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $1
- Status
- Active
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?
proposal #316888: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=electoral-college · party_office_match=dem
- External ID
- ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM11T30
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $445
- Status
- Active
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?
proposal #316883: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=electoral-college · party_office_match=dem
- External ID
- ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM211T538
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes?
proposal #316884: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=electoral-college · party_office_match=dem
- External ID
- ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM131T210
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active