2028 Presidential Democratic Election

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
Venue	Outcome	Current	24h Δ	Volume	Liquidity	30d	Link
Kalshi us	Electoral College yes	0.065	—	$3.1k	—¹		kalshi
Kalshi us	NOT Electoral College no	0.935	—	$3.1k	—¹		kalshi

¹ "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.

§ Canonical outcomes

electoral-college Electoral College
which Which
potus POTUS
gretchen-whitmer Gretchen Whitmer
gavin-newsom Gavin Newsom
mark-kelly Mark Kelly
wes-moore Wes Moore
elissa-slotkin Elissa Slotkin
jon-ossoff Jon Ossoff
alexandria-ocasio-cortez Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
pete-buttigieg Pete Buttigieg
josh-shapiro Josh Shapiro
kamala-harris Kamala Harris
united-states United States
nov Nov
highest Highest
marco-rubio Marco Rubio
james-talarico James Talarico
jd-vance JD Vance
ocasio-cortez Ocasio-Cortez
ro-khanna Ro Khanna
graham-platner Graham Platner
beto-orourke Beto O'Rourke
stephen Stephen
smith Smith
andy-beshear Andy Beshear
kim-kardashian Kim Kardashian
donald-trump-jr Donald Trump Jr
stephen-smith Stephen Smith
who Who
ruben-gallego Ruben Gallego
two-term Two-term
elon-musk Elon Musk
u-s U.S
zohran-mamdani Zohran Mamdani
lebron-james LeBron James
rahm-emanuel Rahm Emanuel
jasmine-crockett Jasmine Crockett
jb-pritzker JB Pritzker
charles-schwab Charles Schwab
j-b-pritzker J.B Pritzker
michelle-obama Michelle Obama
other Other / No candidate named

§ Linked markets

Kalshi · matched by rule · conf 0.97

Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?

proposal #316889: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=electoral-college · party_office_match=dem

External ID: ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM1T10
Matched: 4d ago
Volume: $636
Status: Active