Geopolitics
2027 French Presidential Election Winner
2027_french_presidential_election_winner resolves 2027-04-30
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 36
- Linked markets
- 61 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #900: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets on the same election with identical resolution dates. Candidates are mutually exclusive outcomes of a single event. Slot 'other' for any winner not listed. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Gabriel Attal yes | 0.038 | — | $2.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.036 | — | $1.14M | $90.0k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Gabriel Attal no | 0.962 | — | $2.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.964 | — | $1.14M | $90.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Clémentine Autain Yes | 0.0075 | — | $2.45M | $221.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Clémentine Autain No | 0.993 | — | $2.45M | $221.1k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Jordan Bardella yes | 0.250 | — | $29.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.225 | — | $828.9k | $84.7k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Jordan Bardella no | 0.750 | — | $29.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.775 | — | $828.9k | $84.7k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Michel Barnier yes | 0.0055 | — | $2 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0045 | — | $2.42M | $183.9k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Michel Barnier no | 0.995 | — | $2 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.996 | — | $2.42M | $183.9k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Xavier Bertrand yes | 0.0055 | — | $3 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0055 | — | $1.82M | $178.0k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Xavier Bertrand no | 0.995 | — | $3 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.995 | — | $1.82M | $178.0k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Manuel Bompard yes | 0.0055 | — | $7 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0055 | — | $2.10M | $161.4k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Manuel Bompard no | 0.995 | — | $7 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.995 | — | $2.10M | $161.4k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Élisabeth Borne yes | 0.0055 | — | $1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0055 | — | $2.60M | $203.4k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Élisabeth Borne no | 0.995 | — | $1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.995 | — | $2.60M | $203.4k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Yaël Braun-Pivet yes | 0.020 | — | $24 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0045 | — | $2.18M | $233.8k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Yaël Braun-Pivet no | 0.980 | — | $24 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.996 | — | $2.18M | $233.8k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Jean Castex yes | 0.010 | — | $218 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.015 | — | $677.4k | $77.7k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Jean Castex no | 0.990 | — | $218 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.985 | — | $677.4k | $77.7k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Bernard Cazeneuve yes | 0.010 | — | $59 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.011 | — | $1.19M | $87.3k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Bernard Cazeneuve no | 0.990 | — | $59 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.989 | — | $1.19M | $87.3k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Gérald Darmanin yes | 0.010 | — | $95 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.011 | — | $610.3k | $104.6k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Gérald Darmanin no | 0.990 | — | $95 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.990 | — | $610.3k | $104.6k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Carole Delga yes | 0.0055 | — | $8 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0065 | — | $2.15M | $197.5k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Carole Delga no | 0.995 | — | $8 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.994 | — | $2.15M | $197.5k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Dominique yes | 0.044 | — | $6.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.053 | — | $1.13M | $73.3k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Dominique no | 0.956 | — | $6.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.947 | — | $1.13M | $73.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Yes | 0.0065 | — | $2.49M | $175.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Nicolas Dupont-Aignan No | 0.994 | — | $2.49M | $175.5k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Olivier Faure yes | 0.026 | — | $101 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0055 | — | $1.72M | $203.4k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Olivier Faure no | 0.975 | — | $101 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.995 | — | $1.72M | $203.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
François Asselineau Yes | 0.0065 | — | $2.88M | $176.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT François Asselineau No | 0.994 | — | $2.88M | $176.1k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
François Bayrou yes | 0.0095 | — | $1.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0045 | — | $2.76M | $199.7k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT François Bayrou no | 0.991 | — | $1.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.996 | — | $2.76M | $199.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
François Hollande Yes | 0.049 | — | $927.9k | $46.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT François Hollande No | 0.951 | — | $927.9k | $46.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Raphaël Glucksmann Yes | 0.021 | — | $732.0k | $61.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Raphaël Glucksmann No | 0.979 | — | $732.0k | $61.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Clémence Guetté Yes | 0.0075 | — | $2.21M | $205.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Clémence Guetté No | 0.993 | — | $2.21M | $205.2k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sarah Knafo yes | 0.029 | — | $863 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.021 | — | $1.16M | $92.1k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sarah Knafo no | 0.972 | — | $863 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.979 | — | $1.16M | $92.1k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Sébastien Lecornu yes | 0.041 | — | $1.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.013 | — | $827.7k | $46.5k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Sébastien Lecornu no | 0.959 | — | $1.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.988 | — | $827.7k | $46.5k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
David Lisnard yes | 0.025 | — | $3.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.036 | — | $1.01M | $70.0k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT David Lisnard no | 0.976 | — | $3.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.964 | — | $1.01M | $70.0k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Jean-Luc Mélenchon yes | 0.100 | — | $5.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.085 | — | $429.3k | $81.5k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Jean-Luc Mélenchon no | 0.900 | — | $5.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.915 | — | $429.3k | $81.5k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Mathilde Panot yes | 0.0055 | — | $2 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0055 | — | $2.46M | $183.9k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Mathilde Panot no | 0.995 | — | $2 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.995 | — | $2.46M | $183.9k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Valérie Pécresse yes | 0.0055 | — | $1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0075 | — | $2.07M | $177.6k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Valérie Pécresse no | 0.995 | — | $1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.993 | — | $2.07M | $177.6k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Marine Le Pen yes | 0.064 | — | $23.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.055 | — | $447.5k | $71.9k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Marine Le Pen no | 0.936 | — | $23.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.945 | — | $447.5k | $71.9k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Édouard Philippe yes | 0.220 | — | $15.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.215 | — | $633.1k | $81.1k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Édouard Philippe no | 0.780 | — | $15.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.785 | — | $633.1k | $81.1k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Bruno Retailleau yes | 0.026 | — | $2.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.036 | — | $1.29M | $92.3k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Bruno Retailleau no | 0.974 | — | $2.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.964 | — | $1.29M | $92.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Fabien Roussel Yes | 0.0085 | — | $1.86M | $203.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Fabien Roussel No | 0.992 | — | $1.86M | $203.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Ségolène Royal Yes | 0.0055 | — | $2.30M | $144.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ségolène Royal No | 0.995 | — | $2.30M | $144.9k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
François Ruffin yes | 0.019 | — | $1.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0065 | — | $884.8k | $113.6k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT François Ruffin no | 0.981 | — | $1.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.994 | — | $884.8k | $113.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Marine Tondelier Yes | 0.0045 | — | $1.27M | $159.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Marine Tondelier No | 0.996 | — | $1.27M | $159.8k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Laurent Wauquiez yes | 0.0055 | — | $1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0075 | — | $1.51M | $204.2k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Laurent Wauquiez no | 0.995 | — | $1 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.993 | — | $1.51M | $204.2k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Éric Zemmour yes | 0.0065 | — | $7 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0095 | — | $1.25M | $68.4k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Éric Zemmour no | 0.994 | — | $7 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.991 | — | $1.25M | $68.4k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
-
Sébastien Lecornu +74bpspolymarket YES 0.013 · kalshi NO 0.959
§ Spread history
- 17m ago Sébastien Lecornu polymarket YES 0.013 · kalshi NO 0.959 mid-based +74bps
- 29m ago Sébastien Lecornu polymarket YES 0.013 · kalshi NO 0.959 mid-based +74bps
- 47m ago Sébastien Lecornu polymarket YES 0.013 · kalshi NO 0.959 mid-based +74bps
- 59m ago Sébastien Lecornu polymarket YES 0.013 · kalshi NO 0.959 mid-based +74bps
- 1h ago Sébastien Lecornu polymarket YES 0.013 · kalshi NO 0.959 mid-based +74bps
- 2h ago Sébastien Lecornu polymarket YES 0.013 · kalshi NO 0.959 mid-based +74bps
- 2h ago Sébastien Lecornu polymarket YES 0.013 · kalshi NO 0.959 mid-based +74bps
- 2h ago Sébastien Lecornu polymarket YES 0.013 · kalshi NO 0.959 mid-based +74bps
Showing most recent 16 observations within your tier's window. Subscribe to see deeper history →
§ Canonical outcomes
- francois_asselineau François Asselineau
- francois_bayrou François Bayrou
- francois_hollande François Hollande
- other Other candidate
- borne Élisabeth Borne
- autain Clémentine Autain
- dupont-aignan Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
- panot Mathilde Panot
- barnier Michel Barnier
- royal Ségolène Royal
- braun-pivet Yaël Braun-Pivet
- delga Carole Delga
- pecresse Valérie Pécresse
- bompard Manuel Bompard
- guette Clémence Guetté
- roussel Fabien Roussel
- bertrand Xavier Bertrand
- faure Olivier Faure
- retailleau Bruno Retailleau
- zemmour Éric Zemmour
- wauquiez Laurent Wauquiez
- tondelier Marine Tondelier
- cazeneuve Bernard Cazeneuve
- knafo Sarah Knafo
- dominique Dominique
- attal Gabriel Attal
- lisnard David Lisnard
- lecornu Sébastien Lecornu
- bardella Jordan Bardella
- ruffin François Ruffin
- glucksmann Raphaël Glucksmann
- castex Jean Castex
- darmanin Gérald Darmanin
- philippe Édouard Philippe
- pen Marine Le Pen
- melenchon Jean-Luc Mélenchon
§ Linked markets
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7272: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=philippe
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-EPHI
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7273: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=zemmour
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-EZEM
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $7
- Status
- Active
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7275: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=bardella
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-JBAR
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7276: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=barnier
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-MBAR
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $2
- Status
- Active
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7277: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=bertrand
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-XBER
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $3
- Status
- Active
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7278: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=lisnard
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-DLIS
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7280: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=retailleau
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-BRET
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7281: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=wauquiez
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-LWAU
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $1
- Status
- Active
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7282: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=attal
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-GATT
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7283: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=borne
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-EBOR
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $1
- Status
- Active
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7285: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=castex
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-JCAS
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $218
- Status
- Active
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7286: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=darmanin
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-GDAR
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $95
- Status
- Active
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7289: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=cazeneuve
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-BCAZ
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $59
- Status
- Active
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7290: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=delga
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-CDEL
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $8
- Status
- Active
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7291: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=faure
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-OFAU
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $101
- Status
- Active
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7292: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=bompard
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-MBOM
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $7
- Status
- Active
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7293: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=panot
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-MPAN
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $2
- Status
- Active
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7297: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=lecornu
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-SLEC
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7298: title_jaccard=0.67 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=knafo
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-SKNA
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $863
- Status
- Active
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7274: title_jaccard=0.57 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=pen
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-MLEP
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $23.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7279: title_jaccard=0.57 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=pecresse
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-VPEC
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $1
- Status
- Active
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7284: title_jaccard=0.57 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=braun-pivet
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-YBRA
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $24
- Status
- Active
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7288: title_jaccard=0.57 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=francois_bayrou
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-FBAY
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7294: title_jaccard=0.57 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=melenchon
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-JMEL
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Status
- Active
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7295: title_jaccard=0.57 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ruffin
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-FRUF
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #7296: title_jaccard=0.57 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=dominique
- External ID
- KXFRENCHPRES-27-DVIL
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Status
- Active
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #965: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=francois_asselineau
- External ID
- 679036
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Status
- Active
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #966: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=francois_bayrou
- External ID
- 679041
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $2.76M
- Status
- Active
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #967: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=francois_hollande
- External ID
- 679028
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $927.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1102: expansion: detected entity "Élisabeth Borne" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679042
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.60M
- Status
- Active
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1107: expansion: detected entity "Clémentine Autain" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679037
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.45M
- Status
- Active
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1108: expansion: detected entity "Nicolas Dupont-Aignan" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679038
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.49M
- Status
- Active
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1110: expansion: detected entity "Mathilde Panot" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679049
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.46M
- Status
- Active
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1112: expansion: detected entity "Michel Barnier" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679039
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.42M
- Status
- Active
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1113: expansion: detected entity "Ségolène Royal" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679035
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.30M
- Status
- Active
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1116: expansion: detected entity "Yaël Braun-Pivet" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679043
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.18M
- Status
- Active
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1118: expansion: detected entity "Carole Delga" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679046
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.15M
- Status
- Active
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1119: expansion: detected entity "Valérie Pécresse" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679040
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.07M
- Status
- Active
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1120: expansion: detected entity "Manuel Bompard" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679048
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.10M
- Status
- Active
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1114: expansion: detected entity "Clémence Guetté" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679053
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.21M
- Status
- Active
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1125: expansion: detected entity "Fabien Roussel" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679032
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.86M
- Status
- Active
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1129: expansion: detected entity "Xavier Bertrand" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679023
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.82M
- Status
- Active
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1137: expansion: detected entity "Olivier Faure" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679033
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.72M
- Status
- Active
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1354: expansion: detected entity "Bruno Retailleau" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679027
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Status
- Active
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1355: expansion: detected entity "Éric Zemmour" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679020
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Status
- Active
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1356: expansion: detected entity "Laurent Wauquiez" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679024
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.51M
- Status
- Active
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1358: expansion: detected entity "Marine Tondelier" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679031
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.27M
- Status
- Active
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1359: expansion: detected entity "Bernard Cazeneuve" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679047
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Status
- Active
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1360: expansion: detected entity "Sarah Knafo" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679051
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.16M
- Status
- Active
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1361: expansion: detected entity "Dominique" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679034
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Status
- Active
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1362: expansion: detected entity "Gabriel Attal" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679026
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.14M
- Status
- Active
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1365: expansion: detected entity "David Lisnard" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679022
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.01M
- Status
- Active
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1375: expansion: detected entity "Sébastien Lecornu" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679054
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $827.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1377: expansion: detected entity "Jordan Bardella" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679019
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $828.9k
- Status
- Active
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1380: expansion: detected entity "François Ruffin" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679025
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $884.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1384: expansion: detected entity "Raphaël Glucksmann" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679029
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $732.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1393: expansion: detected entity "Jean Castex" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679044
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $677.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1399: expansion: detected entity "Gérald Darmanin" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679045
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $610.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1400: expansion: detected entity "Édouard Philippe" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679021
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $633.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1415: expansion: detected entity "Marine Le Pen" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679018
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $447.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
proposal #1421: expansion: detected entity "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679030
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $429.3k
- Status
- Active