Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №181 · Last revised 2026-04-30
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US Elections

2026 Wisconsin Governor Election

2026_wisconsin_governor resolves 2027-11-03

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
2
Linked markets
3 · 2 venues

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #9176: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=2 · candidates=1 · joke_filtered=4 · signature=[2026,governor,wisconsin,election]

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
Republicans yes 0.078 — $2.5k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.180 — $56.7k $10.9k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Republicans no 0.922 — $2.5k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.820 — $56.7k $10.9k polymarket

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

  • Republicans +894bps
    kalshi YES 0.070 · polymarket NO 0.820 1105 bps gross · 211 bps fees · mid-based · 8m ago

§ Spread history

  1. 8m ago Republicans kalshi YES 0.070 · polymarket NO 0.820 mid-based +894bps
  2. 20m ago Republicans kalshi YES 0.070 · polymarket NO 0.820 mid-based +894bps
  3. 38m ago Republicans kalshi YES 0.070 · polymarket NO 0.820 mid-based +894bps
  4. 50m ago Republicans kalshi YES 0.070 · polymarket NO 0.820 mid-based +894bps
  5. 1h ago Republicans kalshi YES 0.070 · polymarket NO 0.820 mid-based +894bps

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§ Canonical outcomes

  • republicans Republicans
  • other Other