US Elections
2026 Wisconsin Governor Election
2026_wisconsin_governor resolves 2027-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 15
- Linked markets
- 20 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Mandela Barnes yes | 0.255 | — | $91.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.265 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Mandela Barnes no | 0.745 | — | $91.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.735 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
David Crowley yes | 0.015 | — | $27.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.030 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT David Crowley no | 0.985 | — | $27.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.970 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Francesca Hong yes | 0.335 | — | $109.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.370 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Francesca Hong no | 0.665 | — | $109.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.630 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Missy Hughes yes | 0.0010 | — | $1.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.020 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Missy Hughes no | 0.999 | — | $1.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.980 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Brett Hulsey yes | 0.0010 | — | $1.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Brett Hulsey no | 0.999 | — | $1.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Josh Kaul yes | 0.0010 | — | $3.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Josh Kaul no | 0.999 | — | $3.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Rebecca Kleefisch yes | 0.019 | — | $766 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Rebecca Kleefisch no | 0.981 | — | $766 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
no no | 0.522 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Kelda Roys yes | 0.019 | — | $13.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.025 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Kelda Roys no | 0.981 | — | $13.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.975 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Bryan Steil yes | 0.020 | — | $721 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Bryan Steil no | 0.980 | — | $721 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Patrick Testin yes | 0.018 | — | $169 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Patrick Testin no | 0.983 | — | $169 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Tommy Thompson yes | 0.021 | — | $4.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Tommy Thompson no | 0.980 | — | $4.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Tom Tiffany yes | 0.959 | — | $12.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Tom Tiffany no | 0.041 | — | $12.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Ben Wikler yes | 0.0010 | — | $1.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Ben Wikler no | 0.999 | — | $1.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
yes yes | 0.478 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- republicans Republicans
- other Other
- hulsey Brett Hulsey
- kaul Josh Kaul
- crowley David Crowley
- wikler Ben Wikler
- barnes Mandela Barnes
- hong Francesca Hong
- hughes Missy Hughes
- roys Kelda Roys
- testin Patrick Testin
- tiffany Tom Tiffany
- kleefisch Rebecca Kleefisch
- steil Bryan Steil
- thompson Tommy Thompson
§ Linked markets
Will Kelda Roys be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #29318: expansion: detected entity "Kelda Roys" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMD-26-KROY
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Brett Hulsey be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #19969: expansion: detected entity "Brett Hulsey" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMD-26-BHUL
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Patrick Testin be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #31714: expansion: detected entity "Patrick Testin" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMR-26-PT
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $169
- Status
- Active
Will Tom Tiffany be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #31720: expansion: detected entity "Tom Tiffany" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMR-26-TT
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Rebecca Kleefisch be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #31721: expansion: detected entity "Rebecca Kleefisch" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMR-26-RK
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $766
- Status
- Active
Will Bryan Steil be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #31727: expansion: detected entity "Bryan Steil" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMR-26-BS
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $721
- Status
- Active
Will Tommy Thompson be the Republican nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #31732: expansion: detected entity "Tommy Thompson" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMR-26-TTHO
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Mandela Barnes be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #23604: expansion: detected entity "Mandela Barnes" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMD-26-MBAR
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $91.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Francesca Hong be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #23608: expansion: detected entity "Francesca Hong" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMD-26-FHON
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $109.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Missy Hughes be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #23610: expansion: detected entity "Missy Hughes" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMD-26-MHUG
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Josh Kaul be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #20690: expansion: detected entity "Josh Kaul" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMD-26-JKAU
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Status
- Active
Will David Crowley be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #20693: expansion: detected entity "David Crowley" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMD-26-DCRO
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Ben Wikler be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
proposal #20694: expansion: detected entity "Ben Wikler" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVWINOMD-26-BWIK
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor? — Missy Hughes
proposal #39662: title_jaccard=0.38 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=hughes · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=wi
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32533
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Wisconsin? — Republican
proposal #9234: chain from discovery proposal #9176: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32167
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor? — David Crowley
proposal #35793: title_jaccard=0.38 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=crowley · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=wi
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32528
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Wisconsin? — Democratic
proposal #9233: chain from discovery proposal #9176: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32168
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor? — Francesca Hong
proposal #39936: title_jaccard=0.38 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=hong · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=wi
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33415
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor? — Mandela Barnes
proposal #40363: title_jaccard=0.38 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=barnes · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=wi
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32530
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic nomination for governor? — Kelda Roys
proposal #40823: title_jaccard=0.38 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=roys · party_office_match=governor · us_state_match=wi
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32531
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active