US Elections
2026 US Senate Election in Texas
2026_us_senate_texas resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 2 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #11023: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=2 · candidates=3 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,senate,texas,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Democrats Yes | 0.465 | — | $87.1k | $31.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Democrats No | 0.535 | — | $87.1k | $31.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Republicans Yes | 0.545 | — | $107.4k | $29.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Republicans No | 0.455 | — | $107.4k | $29.8k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- democrats Democrats
- elections Elections
- republicans Republicans
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
proposal #11038: title_jaccard=0.43 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=republicans · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=tx
- External ID
- 630964
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $107.4k
- Status
- Active
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
proposal #11039: title_jaccard=0.43 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=democrats · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=tx
- External ID
- 630963
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $87.1k
- Status
- Active