US Elections
2026 US Senate Election Minnesota
2026_us_senate_minnesota resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 9
- Linked markets
- 11 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Democrat Democrat | 0.952 | — | $280 | $183 | betfair | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Peggy Flanagan yes | 0.780 | — | $50.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.870 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Peggy Flanagan no | 0.220 | — | $50.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.130 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Jacob Frey yes | 0.0080 | — | $458 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Jacob Frey no | 0.992 | — | $458 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
David Hann yes | 0.010 | — | $5.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT David Hann no | 0.990 | — | $5.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Betty McCollum yes | 0.0070 | — | $81 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Betty McCollum no | 0.993 | — | $81 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Ilhan Omar yes | 0.012 | — | $1.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Ilhan Omar no | 0.988 | — | $1.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Republican Republican | 0.227 | — | $280 | $183 | betfair | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Michele Tafoya yes | 0.909 | — | $26.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.895 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Michele Tafoya no | 0.091 | — | $26.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.105 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Royce White yes | 0.030 | — | $14.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.025 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Royce White no | 0.970 | — | $14.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.975 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate elections ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- elections Elections
- other Other
- white Royce White
- hann David Hann
- tafoya Michele Tafoya
- flanagan Peggy Flanagan
- omar Ilhan Omar
- frey Jacob Frey
- mccollum Betty McCollum
§ Linked markets
USA 2026 Midterm Elections · Minnesota Senate Election Winner
proposal #6723: chain from discovery proposal #6600: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1.250484815
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $280
- Status
- Active
Will Betty McCollum be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Minnesota?
proposal #31106: expansion: detected entity "Betty McCollum" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXSENATEMND-26-BMCC
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $81
- Status
- Active
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Minnesota?
proposal #23775: expansion: detected entity "Michele Tafoya" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXSENATEMNR-26-MTAF
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Minnesota?
proposal #23768: expansion: detected entity "Royce White" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXSENATEMNR-26-RWHI
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Status
- Active
Will David Hann be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Minnesota?
proposal #23771: expansion: detected entity "David Hann" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXSENATEMNR-26-DHAN
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Minnesota?
proposal #31099: expansion: detected entity "Peggy Flanagan" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXSENATEMND-26-PFLA
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $50.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Jacob Frey be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Minnesota?
proposal #31105: expansion: detected entity "Jacob Frey" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXSENATEMND-26-JFRE
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $458
- Status
- Active
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Minnesota?
proposal #31104: expansion: detected entity "Ilhan Omar" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXSENATEMND-26-IOMA
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate nomination? — Peggy Flanagan
proposal #41494: title_jaccard=0.33 · date_prox=0.26 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=flanagan · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32287
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate nomination? — Royce White
proposal #39425: title_jaccard=0.33 · date_prox=0.26 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=white · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33249
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate nomination? — Michele Tafoya
proposal #40470: title_jaccard=0.33 · date_prox=0.26 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=tafoya · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33250
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active