Event №121 · Last revised 2026-05-24
Open

US Elections

2026 US Senate Election Minnesota

2026_us_senate_minnesota resolves 2026-11-03

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
9
Linked markets
11 · 3 venues

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Betfair Exchange uk
Democrat Democrat 0.952 $280 $183 betfair
Kalshi us
Peggy Flanagan yes 0.780 $50.7k 1 kalshi
PredictIt nz
yes 0.870 1 1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Peggy Flanagan no 0.220 $50.7k 1 kalshi
PredictIt nz
no 0.130 1 1 predictit
Kalshi us
Jacob Frey yes 0.0080 $458 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Jacob Frey no 0.992 $458 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
David Hann yes 0.010 $5.4k 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT David Hann no 0.990 $5.4k 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Betty McCollum yes 0.0070 $81 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Betty McCollum no 0.993 $81 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Ilhan Omar yes 0.012 $1.5k 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Ilhan Omar no 0.988 $1.5k 1 kalshi
Betfair Exchange uk
Republican Republican 0.227 $280 $183 betfair
Kalshi us
Michele Tafoya yes 0.909 $26.2k 1 kalshi
PredictIt nz
yes 0.895 1 1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Michele Tafoya no 0.091 $26.2k 1 kalshi
PredictIt nz
no 0.105 1 1 predictit
Kalshi us
Royce White yes 0.030 $14.7k 1 kalshi
PredictIt nz
yes 0.025 1 1 predictit
Kalshi us
NOT Royce White no 0.970 $14.7k 1 kalshi
PredictIt nz
no 0.975 1 1 predictit

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate elections ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • elections Elections
  • other Other
  • white Royce White
  • hann David Hann
  • tafoya Michele Tafoya
  • flanagan Peggy Flanagan
  • omar Ilhan Omar
  • frey Jacob Frey
  • mccollum Betty McCollum