Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №123 · Last revised 2026-05-01
Open

US Elections

2026 US Senate Election Louisiana

2026_us_senate_louisiana resolves 2026-11-03

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
10
Linked markets
10 · 3 venues

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Polymarket us
Bill Cassidy Yes 0.0050 — $69.6k $9.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Bill Cassidy No 0.995 — $69.6k $9.2k polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Democrat Democrat 0.980 — $96 $174 betfair
Kalshi us
Democratics yes 0.074 — $10.4k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Democratics no 0.926 — $10.4k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Tracy Dendy Yes 0.0005 — $20.1k $8.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Tracy Dendy No 1.000 — $20.1k $8.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
Xan John Yes 0.0005 — $11.1k $9.3k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Xan John No 1.000 — $11.1k $9.3k polymarket
Kalshi us
Julia Letlow yes 0.970 — $364.9k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ Yes 0.933 — $68.4k $9.1k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Julia Letlow no 0.030 — $364.9k —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
↳ No 0.067 — $68.4k $9.1k polymarket
Betfair Exchange uk
Republican Republican 0.962 — $96 $174 betfair
Polymarket us
Kathy Seiden Yes 0.0005 — $11.9k $3.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Kathy Seiden No 1.000 — $11.9k $3.2k polymarket
Polymarket us
Eric Skrmetta Yes 0.0005 — $16.0k $9.0k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Eric Skrmetta No 1.000 — $16.0k $9.0k polymarket

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

  • NOT Julia Letlow +114bps
    kalshi NO 0.034 · polymarket YES 0.933 325 bps gross · 211 bps fees · mid-based · 1d ago

§ Spread history

  1. 1d ago Julia Letlow polymarket YES 0.933 · kalshi NO 0.034 mid-based +114bps
  2. 1d ago Julia Letlow polymarket YES 0.933 · kalshi NO 0.034 mid-based +114bps
  3. 1d ago Julia Letlow polymarket YES 0.933 · kalshi NO 0.034 mid-based +114bps

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§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate elections ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • elections Elections
  • other Other
  • democratics Democratics
  • john-fleming John Fleming
  • dendy Tracy Dendy
  • skrmetta Eric Skrmetta
  • bill-cassidy Bill Cassidy
  • julia-letlow Julia Letlow
  • seiden Kathy Seiden
  • john Xan John