US Elections
2026 US Senate Election Louisiana
2026_us_senate_louisiana resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 8
- Linked markets
- 10 · 3 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6602: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=2 · candidates=1 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,senate,louisiana,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Bill Cassidy Yes | 0.075 | — | $31.5k | $16.4k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.140 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Bill Cassidy No | 0.925 | — | $31.5k | $16.4k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.860 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Democratics yes | 0.087 | — | $706 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Democratics no | 0.913 | — | $706 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Tracy Dendy Yes | 0.0015 | — | $18.7k | $10.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Tracy Dendy No | 0.999 | — | $18.7k | $10.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
John Fleming Yes | 0.295 | — | $36.4k | $15.0k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.230 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT John Fleming No | 0.705 | — | $36.4k | $15.0k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.770 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Julia Letlow Yes | 0.645 | — | $18.3k | $17.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.710 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Julia Letlow No | 0.355 | — | $18.3k | $17.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.290 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Eric Skrmetta Yes | 0.0005 | — | $16.0k | $10.2k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Eric Skrmetta No | 1.000 | — | $16.0k | $10.2k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- elections Elections
- other Other
- democratics Democratics
- john-fleming John Fleming
- dendy Tracy Dendy
- skrmetta Eric Skrmetta
- bill-cassidy Bill Cassidy
- julia-letlow Julia Letlow
§ Linked markets
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Louisiana?
proposal #6754: expansion: detected entity "Democratics" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- SENATELA-28-D
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $706
- Status
- Active
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
proposal #7858: expansion: detected entity "John Fleming" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 969679
- Matched
- 5h ago
- Volume
- $36.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Tracy Dendy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
proposal #8210: expansion: detected entity "Tracy Dendy" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 969685
- Matched
- 4h ago
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Eric Skrmetta be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
proposal #8293: expansion: detected entity "Eric Skrmetta" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 969682
- Matched
- 4h ago
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
proposal #8491: expansion: detected entity "Bill Cassidy" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 969677
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $31.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
proposal #8507: expansion: detected entity "Julia Letlow" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 969689
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate nomination? — John Fleming
proposal #8485: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=john-fleming · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=la
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33058
- Matched
- 4h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate nomination? — Eric Skrmetta
proposal #8498: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=skrmetta · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=la
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33060
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate nomination? — Bill Cassidy
proposal #8502: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=bill-cassidy · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=la
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33056
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate nomination? — Julia Letlow
proposal #8508: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=julia-letlow · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=la
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33061
- Matched
- 2h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active