US Elections
2026 US Senate Election Alabama
2026_us_senate_alabama resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 5
- Linked markets
- 5 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Democratics yes | 0.030 | — | $6.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Democratics no | 0.970 | — | $6.5k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Steve Marshall Yes | 0.0005 | — | $41.4k | $11.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Steve Marshall No | 1.000 | — | $41.4k | $11.8k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Barry Moore yes | 0.815 | — | $1.02M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 1.000 | — | $206.7k | $133.7k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Barry Moore no | 0.185 | — | $1.02M | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.0005 | — | $206.7k | $133.7k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate elections ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- elections Elections
- other Other
- democratics Democratics
- moore Barry Moore
- marshall Steve Marshall
§ Linked markets
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alabama?
proposal #6755: expansion: detected entity "Democratics" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- SENATEAL-28-2-D
- Matched
- 51d ago
- Volume
- $137
- Status
- Active
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Alabama?
proposal #19864: title_jaccard=0.22 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=moore · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=al
- External ID
- KXSENATEALR-26-BMOO
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $1.02M
- Status
- Inactive
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alabama?
proposal #30282: title_jaccard=0.29 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=democratics · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=al
- External ID
- SENATEAL-26-D
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
proposal #8224: expansion: detected entity "Barry Moore" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679720
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $206.7k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
proposal #8374: expansion: detected entity "Steve Marshall" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 679719
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $41.4k
- Status
- Inactive