Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №157 · Last revised 2026-04-30
Open

US Elections

2026 US Senate Election Alabama

2026_us_senate_alabama resolves 2026-11-03

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
5
Linked markets
3 · 2 venues

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6601: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=2 · candidates=1 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,senate,alabama,election]

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
Democratics yes 0.039 — $124 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Democratics no 0.961 — $124 —1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Steve Marshall Yes 0.048 — $14.3k $18.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Steve Marshall No 0.952 — $14.3k $18.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
Barry Moore Yes 0.810 — $18.2k $16.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Barry Moore No 0.190 — $18.2k $16.7k polymarket

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • elections Elections
  • other Other
  • democratics Democratics
  • moore Barry Moore
  • marshall Steve Marshall