Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №001 · Last revised 2026-05-03
Open

US Elections

Control of the US House after the 2026 midterms

2026_us_house_control resolves 2027-01-03

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
seating_of_120th_congress
Canonical outcomes
3
Linked markets
2 · 1 venue

Which party holds 218+ seats when the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027.

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Polymarket us
democratic_majority Yes 0.825 — $4.00M $310.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT democratic_majority No 0.175 — $4.00M $310.7k polymarket
Polymarket us
republican_majority Yes 0.185 — $3.36M $352.1k polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT republican_majority No 0.815 — $3.36M $352.1k polymarket

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

Reference Wikipedia: Control House on 72nd Street ↗

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • democratic_majority democratic_majority
  • republican_majority republican_majority
  • tied tied