Open
US Elections
Control of the US House after the 2026 midterms
2026_us_house_control resolves 2027-01-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- seating_of_120th_congress
- Canonical outcomes
- 3
- Linked markets
- 2 · 1 venue
Which party holds 218+ seats when the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027.
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
democratic_majority Yes | 0.845 | — | $2.61M | $117.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT democratic_majority No | 0.155 | — | $2.61M | $117.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
republican_majority Yes | 0.155 | — | $2.41M | $150.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT republican_majority No | 0.845 | — | $2.41M | $150.5k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- democratic_majority democratic_majority
- republican_majority republican_majority
- tied tied
§ Linked markets
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
proposal #175: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=democratic_majority
- External ID
- 562802
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $2.61M
- Status
- Active
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
proposal #176: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=republican_majority
- External ID
- 562803
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $2.41M
- Status
- Active