Geopolitics
2026 UK Local Elections Results
2026_uk_local_elections resolves 2026-05-07
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 11
- Linked markets
- 4 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Green Party Yes | 0.0005 | — | $219.2k | $223.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Green Party No | 1.000 | — | $219.2k | $223.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Local Elections Yes | 0.0005 | — | $284.3k | $429.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Local Elections No | 1.000 | — | $284.3k | $429.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Green Party Yes | 0.999 | — | $62.3k | $6.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Green Party No | 0.0015 | — | $62.3k | $6.7k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 United Kingdom local elections ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- local_elections Local Elections
- croydon_mayoral Croydon Mayoral
- hackney_mayoral Hackney Mayoral
- lewisham_mayoral Lewisham Mayoral
- local_elections_winning_party Local Elections Winning Party
- newham_mayoral Newham Mayoral
- tower_hamlets_mayoral Tower Hamlets Mayoral
- watford_mayoral Watford Mayoral
- other Other
- party Green Party
- green-party Green Party
§ Linked markets
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
proposal #7710: expansion: detected entity "Green Party" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1864306
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $62.3k
- Status
- Inactive
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
proposal #8058: expansion: detected entity "Green Party" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1849801
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $219.2k
- Status
- Inactive
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
proposal #8147: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=local_elections
- External ID
- 1849797
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $217.5k
- Status
- Inactive
Will the Conservative Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
proposal #9327: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=local_elections
- External ID
- 1849798
- Matched
- 49d ago
- Volume
- $66.8k
- Status
- Inactive