Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №079 · Last revised 2026-04-27
Open

US Elections

2026 Texas Senate Election Winner

2026_texas_senate_election resolves 2026-11-04

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
2
Linked markets
2 · 1 venue

Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #2620: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets clearly asking about the same 2026 Texas Senate race outcome. Market 1 frames as binary Democrat win; Markets 2–3 are the Republican/Democratic sides of the same categorical question. Consolidated as single categorical event. · cluster=3

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
PredictIt us
Democratic yes 0.440 — —1 —1 predictit
PredictIt us
NOT Democratic no 0.560 — —1 —1 predictit
PredictIt us
Republican yes 0.555 — —1 —1 predictit
PredictIt us
NOT Republican no 0.445 — —1 —1 predictit

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • democratic Democratic
  • republican Republican