US Elections
2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
2026_texas_republican_senate_primary_winner resolves 2026-05-26
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 5
- Linked markets
- 7 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Anna Bender Anna Bender | — | — | $17.4k | $598 | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Beth Van Duyne Beth Van Duyne | — | — | $17.4k | $598 | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Dawn Buckingham Yes | 0.0005 | — | $969.3k | $282.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Dawn Buckingham No | 1.000 | — | $969.3k | $282.6k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Dawn Buckingham Dawn Buckingham | — | — | $17.4k | $598 | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Beth Van Duyne Yes | 0.0005 | — | $5.60M | $301.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Beth Van Duyne No | 1.000 | — | $5.60M | $301.9k | polymarket | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Gulrez Khan Gulrez Khan | — | — | $17.4k | $598 | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
John Adefope John Adefope | — | — | $17.4k | $598 | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
John Cornyn John Cornyn | — | — | $17.4k | $598 | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Ken Paxton Ken Paxton | — | — | $17.4k | $598 | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Ken Paxton Yes | 1.000 | — | $5.47M | $448.5k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.970 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ken Paxton No | 0.0005 | — | $5.47M | $448.5k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.030 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Sara Canady Sara Canady | — | — | $17.4k | $598 | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Virgil Bierschwale Virgil Bierschwale | — | — | $17.4k | $598 | betfair | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Wesley Hunt Wesley Hunt | — | — | $17.4k | $598 | betfair | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Wesley Hunt Yes | 0.0005 | — | $1.86M | $290.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Wesley Hunt No | 1.000 | — | $1.86M | $290.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- wesley_hunt Wesley Hunt
- other Other
- duyne Beth Van Duyne
- paxton Ken Paxton
- buckingham Dawn Buckingham
§ Linked markets
2026 Primaries · Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
proposal #5464: chain from discovery proposal #5292: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1.252321027
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Status
- Inactive · Closed
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
proposal #5466: expansion: detected entity "Beth Van Duyne" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 562189
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $5.60M
- Status
- Inactive
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
proposal #5463: title_jaccard=0.57 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=wesley_hunt · party_office_match=rep · us_state_match=tx
- External ID
- 562190
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.86M
- Status
- Inactive
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
proposal #5467: expansion: detected entity "Ken Paxton" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 562186
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $5.47M
- Status
- Inactive
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
proposal #5843: expansion: detected entity "Dawn Buckingham" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 562188
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $969.3k
- Status
- Inactive
Who will win the 2026 Texas Republican Senate nomination? — Wesley Hunt
proposal #5465: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=wesley_hunt · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=tx
- External ID
- predictit_contract_31980
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Who will win the 2026 Texas Republican Senate nomination? — Ken Paxton
proposal #6091: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=paxton · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=tx
- External ID
- predictit_contract_31979
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive