Geopolitics
2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Most Seats Winner
2026_tamil_nadu_assembly_most_seats resolves 2026-04-23
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 2 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #895: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets ask which party wins most seats in the same election on the same date. Together they cover leading candidates; 'other' captures remaining possibilities. Coherent categorical event. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) Yes | 0.785 | — | $251.6k | $37.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) No | 0.215 | — | $251.6k | $37.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) Yes | 0.073 | — | $785.3k | $73.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) No | 0.926 | — | $785.3k | $73.4k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- inc Indian National Congress (INC)
- tvk Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK)
- dmk Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK)
- other Other party
§ Linked markets
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
proposal #960: title_jaccard=0.58 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=tvk
- External ID
- 1003805
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $785.3k
- Status
- Active
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
proposal #961: title_jaccard=0.58 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=dmk
- External ID
- 1003803
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $251.6k
- Status
- Active