Geopolitics
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
2026_seoul_mayoral_election_winner resolves 2026-06-03
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 15
- Linked markets
- 11 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #899: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets directly address the same Seoul mayoral election with identical resolution date. Markets cover three leading candidates; canonical event should include 'other' for any remaining winner. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Ahn Cheol-soo Yes | 0.0015 | — | $2.35M | $286.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ahn Cheol-soo No | 0.999 | — | $2.35M | $286.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Han Dong-hoon Yes | 0.0015 | — | $2.57M | $297.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Han Dong-hoon No | 0.999 | — | $2.57M | $297.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Cho Eun-hee Yes | 0.0015 | — | $2.88M | $330.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Cho Eun-hee No | 0.999 | — | $2.88M | $330.9k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Park Hong-keun Yes | 0.0015 | — | $2.87M | $290.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Park Hong-keun No | 0.999 | — | $2.87M | $290.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Kang Hoon-sik Yes | 0.0015 | — | $1.92M | $320.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Kang Hoon-sik No | 0.999 | — | $1.92M | $320.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Jeon Hyun-heui Yes | 0.0015 | — | $2.55M | $307.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Jeon Hyun-heui No | 0.999 | — | $2.55M | $307.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Hong Ihk-pyo Yes | 0.0015 | — | $2.73M | $295.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Hong Ihk-pyo No | 0.999 | — | $2.73M | $295.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Park Ju-min Yes | 0.0015 | — | $2.05M | $300.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Park Ju-min No | 0.999 | — | $2.05M | $300.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Cho Kuk Yes | 0.0015 | — | $2.46M | $301.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Cho Kuk No | 0.999 | — | $2.46M | $301.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Chong Won-oh Yes | 0.865 | — | $704.0k | $39.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Chong Won-oh No | 0.135 | — | $704.0k | $39.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Park Yong-jin Yes | 0.0015 | — | $2.73M | $261.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Park Yong-jin No | 0.999 | — | $2.73M | $261.4k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- seo_young_kyo Seo Young-kyo
- na_kyung_won Na Kyung-won
- oh_se_hoon Oh Se-hoon
- other Other candidate
- yong-jin Park Yong-jin
- ihk-pyo Hong Ihk-pyo
- dong-hoon Han Dong-hoon
- kuk Cho Kuk
- cheol-soo Ahn Cheol-soo
- hyun-heui Jeon Hyun-heui
- hoon-sik Kang Hoon-sik
- ju-min Park Ju-min
- won-oh Chong Won-oh
- eun-hee Cho Eun-hee
- hong-keun Park Hong-keun
§ Linked markets
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1098: expansion: detected entity "Park Yong-jin" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678935
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.73M
- Status
- Active
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1101: expansion: detected entity "Hong Ihk-pyo" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678939
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.73M
- Status
- Active
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1103: expansion: detected entity "Han Dong-hoon" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678932
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.57M
- Status
- Active
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1109: expansion: detected entity "Cho Kuk" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678941
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.46M
- Status
- Active
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1111: expansion: detected entity "Ahn Cheol-soo" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678933
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.35M
- Status
- Active
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1105: expansion: detected entity "Jeon Hyun-heui" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678940
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.55M
- Status
- Active
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1124: expansion: detected entity "Kang Hoon-sik" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678943
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $1.92M
- Status
- Active
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1126: expansion: detected entity "Park Ju-min" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678934
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.05M
- Status
- Active
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1388: expansion: detected entity "Chong Won-oh" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678937
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $704.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1096: expansion: detected entity "Cho Eun-hee" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678931
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Status
- Active
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
proposal #1097: expansion: detected entity "Park Hong-keun" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 678936
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $2.87M
- Status
- Active