Geopolitics
2026 Russian Parliamentary Election Most Seats Winner
2026_russian_parliamentary_election_most_seats resolves 2026-09-30
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 7
- Linked markets
- 5 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Civic Platform Yes | 0.0015 | — | $148.8k | $27.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Civic Platform No | 0.999 | — | $148.8k | $27.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Communist Party Yes | 0.011 | — | $111.7k | $25.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Communist Party No | 0.989 | — | $111.7k | $25.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
New People Yes | 0.027 | — | $87.4k | $35.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT New People No | 0.973 | — | $87.4k | $35.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Rodina Yes | 0.0024 | — | $1.64M | $108.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Rodina No | 0.998 | — | $1.64M | $108.7k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2016 Russian legislative election ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- ldpr Liberal Democratic Party of Russia
- rodina Rodina
- srzp A Just Russia – For Truth
- other Other
- civic-platform Civic Platform
- new-people New People
- communist-party Communist Party
§ Linked markets
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
proposal #5160: title_jaccard=0.63 · date_prox=1.00 · canonical_outcome=rodina
- External ID
- 1129903
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $287.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
proposal #5150: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=1.00 · canonical_outcome=rodina
- External ID
- 1130017
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $1.35M
- Status
- Active
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
proposal #7539: expansion: detected entity "Civic Platform" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1129905
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $148.8k
- Status
- Active
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
proposal #7625: expansion: detected entity "New People" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1129902
- Matched
- 50d ago
- Volume
- $87.4k
- Status
- Active
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
proposal #13504: expansion: detected entity "Communist Party" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 1129896
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $111.7k
- Status
- Active