US Elections
2026 Oregon Republican Gubernatorial Primary
2026_oregon_governor_republican_primary resolves 2026-05-19
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 5
- Linked markets
- 6 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #11046: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=7 · venues=2 · candidates=4 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,oregon,governor,republican,primary]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Chael Sonnen Yes | 0.0015 | — | $12.2k | $3.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Chael Sonnen No | 0.999 | — | $12.2k | $3.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Chris Dudley Yes | 0.033 | — | $13.1k | $4.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.230 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Chris Dudley No | 0.967 | — | $13.1k | $4.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.770 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Christine Drazan Yes | 0.855 | — | $21.8k | $12.8k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.550 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Christine Drazan No | 0.145 | — | $21.8k | $12.8k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.450 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Kyle Duyck Yes | 0.0025 | — | $19.7k | $4.4k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Kyle Duyck No | 0.998 | — | $19.7k | $4.4k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- chael_sonnen Chael Sonnen
- chris_dudley Chris Dudley
- christine_drazan Christine Drazan
- kyle_duyck Kyle Duyck
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #11114: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=christine_drazan · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=or
- External ID
- 825533
- Matched
- 53m ago
- Volume
- $21.8k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Kyle Duyck win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #11115: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=kyle_duyck · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=or
- External ID
- 825532
- Matched
- 53m ago
- Volume
- $19.7k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #11116: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=chris_dudley · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=or
- External ID
- 825535
- Matched
- 53m ago
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Chael Sonnen win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #11117: title_jaccard=0.44 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=chael_sonnen · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=or
- External ID
- 825536
- Matched
- 53m ago
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Status
- Inactive
Who will win the 2026 Oregon Republican nomination for governor? — Chris Dudley
proposal #11138: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=chris_dudley · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=or
- External ID
- predictit_contract_34371
- Matched
- 53m ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Oregon Republican nomination for governor? — Christine Drazan
proposal #11139: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=christine_drazan · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=or
- External ID
- predictit_contract_34370
- Matched
- 53m ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active