US Elections
2026 New Mexico Governor Republican Primary
2026_new_mexico_governor_republican_primary resolves 2026-06-02
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 9
- Linked markets
- 12 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Brian Cillessen yes | 0.0070 | — | $1.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0005 | — | $21.3k | $136.8k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Brian Cillessen no | 0.993 | — | $1.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 1.000 | — | $21.3k | $136.8k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Rebecca Dow yes | 0.0070 | — | $1.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Rebecca Dow no | 0.993 | — | $1.0k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Duke Rodriguez yes | 0.0050 | — | $27.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0005 | — | $29.2k | $127.6k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Duke Rodriguez no | 0.995 | — | $27.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 1.000 | — | $29.2k | $127.6k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Greg Hull yes | 0.695 | — | $65.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 1.000 | — | $182.7k | $122.4k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Greg Hull no | 0.305 | — | $65.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.0005 | — | $182.7k | $122.4k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Yvette Herrell yes | 0.0050 | — | $1.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Yvette Herrell no | 0.995 | — | $1.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Susana Martinez yes | 0.0040 | — | $1.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0005 | — | $26.0k | $137.3k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Susana Martinez no | 0.996 | — | $1.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 1.000 | — | $26.0k | $137.3k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Steve Lanier yes | 0.0070 | — | $1.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0005 | — | $673.1k | $127.9k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Steve Lanier no | 0.993 | — | $1.8k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 1.000 | — | $673.1k | $127.9k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- democrats Democrats
- duke_rodriguez Duke Rodriguez
- greg_hull Greg Hull
- steve_lanier Steve Lanier
- other Other
- cillessen Brian Cillessen
- dow Rebecca Dow
- herrell Yvette Herrell
- martinez Susana Martinez
§ Linked markets
Will Yvette Herrell be the Republican nominee for Governor in New Mexico?
proposal #18867: expansion: detected entity "Yvette Herrell" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVNMNOMR-26-YHER
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Susana Martinez be the Republican nominee for Governor in New Mexico?
proposal #18869: expansion: detected entity "Susana Martinez" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVNMNOMR-26-SMAR
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Duke Rodriguez be the Republican nominee for Governor in New Mexico?
proposal #23215: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=duke_rodriguez · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=nm
- External ID
- KXGOVNMNOMR-26-DROD
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Gregg Hull be the Republican nominee for Governor in New Mexico?
proposal #18863: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=greg_hull · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=nm
- External ID
- KXGOVNMNOMR-26-GHUL
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $65.7k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Steve Lanier be the Republican nominee for Governor in New Mexico?
proposal #18868: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=steve_lanier · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=nm
- External ID
- KXGOVNMNOMR-26-SLAN
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Brian Cillessen be the Republican nominee for Governor in New Mexico?
proposal #18864: expansion: detected entity "Brian Cillessen" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVNMNOMR-26-BCIL
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Rebecca Dow be the Republican nominee for Governor in New Mexico?
proposal #18866: expansion: detected entity "Rebecca Dow" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVNMNOMR-26-RDOW
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Susana Martinez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #47457: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=martinez · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=nm
- External ID
- 824267
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #11105: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=greg_hull · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=nm
- External ID
- 824260
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $182.7k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #11110: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=duke_rodriguez · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=nm
- External ID
- 824264
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Brian Cillessen win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #46219: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=cillessen · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=nm
- External ID
- 824262
- Matched
- 24d ago
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #11104: title_jaccard=0.67 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=steve_lanier · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=nm
- External ID
- 824261
- Matched
- 45d ago
- Volume
- $673.1k
- Status
- Inactive