US Elections
2026 Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Nomination
2026_minnesota_gop_governor_nomination resolves 2026-08-11
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 12
- Linked markets
- 17 · 3 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Brad Kohler yes | 0.0050 | — | $254 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Brad Kohler no | 0.995 | — | $254 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
Julia Coleman yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
NOT Julia Coleman no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Kendall Qualls yes | 0.540 | — | $14.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.565 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Kendall Qualls no | 0.460 | — | $14.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.435 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Patrick Knight Yes | 0.0045 | — | $11.7k | $4.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Patrick Knight No | 0.996 | — | $11.7k | $4.1k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Kristin Robbins yes | 0.0050 | — | $1.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Kristin Robbins no | 0.995 | — | $1.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Lisa Demuth yes | 0.260 | — | $39.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.280 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Lisa Demuth no | 0.740 | — | $39.6k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.720 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Chris Madel yes | 0.0055 | — | $10.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Chris Madel no | 0.995 | — | $10.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Mike Lindell yes | 0.175 | — | $105.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.205 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Mike Lindell no | 0.825 | — | $105.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.795 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Phil Parrish Yes | 0.013 | — | $24.8k | $4.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Phil Parrish No | 0.988 | — | $24.8k | $4.0k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Jim Schultz yes | 0.0050 | — | $156 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Jim Schultz no | 0.995 | — | $156 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Scott Jensen yes | 0.0050 | — | $2.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Scott Jensen no | 0.995 | — | $2.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- brad_kohler Brad Kohler
- julia_coleman Julia Coleman
- kendall_qualls Kendall Qualls
- kristin_robbins Kristin Robbins
- lisa_demuth Lisa Demuth
- mike_lindell Mike Lindell
- scott_jensen Scott Jensen
- other Other
- parrish Phil Parrish
- knight Patrick Knight
- schultz Jim Schultz
- madel Chris Madel
§ Linked markets
Will Brad Kohler be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #30474: title_jaccard=0.22 · date_prox=0.04 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=brad_kohler · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMR-26-BKOH
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $254
- Status
- Active
Will Jim Schultz be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #20321: expansion: detected entity "Jim Schultz" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMR-26-JSCH
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $156
- Status
- Active
Will Chris Madel be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #31774: expansion: detected entity "Chris Madel" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMR-26-CMAD
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Lisa Demuth be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #31776: title_jaccard=0.22 · date_prox=0.04 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=lisa_demuth · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMR-26-LDEM
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $39.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Mike Lindell be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #31775: title_jaccard=0.22 · date_prox=0.04 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=mike_lindell · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMR-26-MLIN
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $105.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Kendall Qualls be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #31773: title_jaccard=0.22 · date_prox=0.04 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=kendall_qualls · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMR-26-KQUA
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Kristin Robbins be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #31772: title_jaccard=0.22 · date_prox=0.04 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=kristin_robbins · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMR-26-KROB
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Scott Jensen be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?
proposal #31771: title_jaccard=0.22 · date_prox=0.04 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=scott_jensen · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- KXGOVMNNOMR-26-SJEN
- Matched
- 26d ago
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #8090: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=parrish · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- 907989
- Matched
- 23d ago
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Patrick Knight win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #10343: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=knight · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- 907986
- Matched
- 23d ago
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Kristin Robbins
proposal #6579: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=kristin_robbins · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33167
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Julia Coleman
proposal #6578: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=julia_coleman · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32557
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Brad Kohler
proposal #6577: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=brad_kohler · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32556
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Scott Jensen
proposal #6576: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=scott_jensen · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32555
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Mike Lindell
proposal #6575: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mike_lindell · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32558
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Kendall Qualls
proposal #6574: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=kendall_qualls · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33168
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Lisa Demuth
proposal #6573: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=lisa_demuth · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32559
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active