US Elections
2026 Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Nomination
2026_minnesota_gop_governor_nomination resolves 2026-08-11
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 9
- Linked markets
- 13 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6463: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=8 · venues=1 · candidates=7 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,minnesota,republican,governor,nomination]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PredictIt
us
|
Brad Kohler yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Brad Kohler no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Julia Coleman yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Julia Coleman no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Kendall Qualls Yes | 0.160 | — | $45.0k | $9.2k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.160 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Kendall Qualls No | 0.840 | — | $45.0k | $9.2k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.840 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Kristin Robbins Yes | 0.112 | — | $13.3k | $1.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Kristin Robbins No | 0.888 | — | $13.3k | $1.3k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Lisa Demuth Yes | 0.625 | — | $57.0k | $19.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.630 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Lisa Demuth No | 0.375 | — | $57.0k | $19.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.370 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Mike Lindell Yes | 0.150 | — | $88.0k | $3.8k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.150 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Mike Lindell No | 0.850 | — | $88.0k | $3.8k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.850 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Phil Parrish Yes | 0.034 | — | $23.2k | $5.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Phil Parrish No | 0.966 | — | $23.2k | $5.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Scott Jensen Yes | 0.0030 | — | $129.9k | $11.2k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Scott Jensen No | 0.997 | — | $129.9k | $11.2k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- brad_kohler Brad Kohler
- julia_coleman Julia Coleman
- kendall_qualls Kendall Qualls
- kristin_robbins Kristin Robbins
- lisa_demuth Lisa Demuth
- mike_lindell Mike Lindell
- scott_jensen Scott Jensen
- other Other
- parrish Phil Parrish
§ Linked markets
Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #6643: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=scott_jensen · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- 907984
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $129.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #7525: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mike_lindell · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- 907993
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $88.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #7672: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=lisa_demuth · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- 907983
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $57.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #7759: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=kendall_qualls · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- 907990
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #8427: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=kristin_robbins · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- 907991
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
proposal #8090: expansion: detected entity "Phil Parrish" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 907989
- Matched
- 4h ago
- Volume
- $23.2k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Lisa Demuth
proposal #6573: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=lisa_demuth · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32559
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Kendall Qualls
proposal #6574: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=kendall_qualls · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33168
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Mike Lindell
proposal #6575: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mike_lindell · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32558
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Scott Jensen
proposal #6576: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=scott_jensen · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32555
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Brad Kohler
proposal #6577: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=brad_kohler · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32556
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Julia Coleman
proposal #6578: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=julia_coleman · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32557
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Republican nomination for governor? — Kristin Robbins
proposal #6579: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=kristin_robbins · party_office_match=rep,governor · us_state_match=mn
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33167
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active