US Elections
2026 Maine Republican Senate Nomination Winner
2026_maine_republican_senate_nomination resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 10 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Daniel Smeriglio yes | 0.0010 | — | $5.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Daniel Smeriglio no | 0.999 | — | $5.3k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Susan Collins yes | 0.907 | — | $51.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ yes | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Susan Collins no | 0.093 | — | $51.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
PredictIt
nz
|
↳ no | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate elections ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- daniel_smeriglio Daniel Smeriglio
- shannon Shannon
- susan_collins Susan Collins
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Will Greg Elder endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?
proposal #336266: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=susan_collins · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-GELD
- Matched
- 3d ago
- Volume
- $7
- Status
- Active
Will Angus King endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?
proposal #336264: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=susan_collins · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-AKIN
- Matched
- 3d ago
- Volume
- $614
- Status
- Active
Will Jared Golden endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?
proposal #336265: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=susan_collins · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-JGOL
- Matched
- 3d ago
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Susan Collins be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Maine?
proposal #43400: title_jaccard=0.38 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=susan_collins · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXSENATEMER-26-SCOL
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Dan Smeriglio be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Maine?
proposal #43401: title_jaccard=0.38 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=daniel_smeriglio · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXSENATEMER-26-DSME
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Status
- Inactive
Will Olympia Snowe endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?
proposal #336261: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=susan_collins · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-OSNO
- Matched
- 3d ago
- Volume
- $792
- Status
- Active
Will John Fetterman endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?
proposal #336262: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=susan_collins · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-JFET
- Matched
- 3d ago
- Volume
- $47
- Status
- Active
Will Jake Auchincloss endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?
proposal #336263: title_jaccard=0.25 · date_prox=0.99 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=susan_collins · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXENDORSECOLLINS-26NOV03-JAUC
- Matched
- 3d ago
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican Senate nomination? — Daniel Smeriglio
proposal #5996: title_jaccard=0.71 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=daniel_smeriglio · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32527
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican Senate nomination? — Susan Collins
proposal #5995: title_jaccard=0.71 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=susan_collins · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32526
- Matched
- 52d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Inactive