US Elections
2026 Maine Republican Senate Nomination Winner
2026_maine_republican_senate_nomination resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 4
- Linked markets
- 2 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #5680: llm_two_phase:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=1 · candidates=3 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,maine,republican,senate,nomination]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PredictIt
us
|
Daniel Smeriglio yes | 0.015 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Daniel Smeriglio no | 0.985 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
Susan Collins yes | 0.975 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
NOT Susan Collins no | 0.025 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- daniel_smeriglio Daniel Smeriglio
- shannon Shannon
- susan_collins Susan Collins
- other Other
§ Linked markets
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican Senate nomination? — Susan Collins
proposal #5995: title_jaccard=0.71 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=susan_collins · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32526
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Republican Senate nomination? — Daniel Smeriglio
proposal #5996: title_jaccard=0.71 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=daniel_smeriglio · party_office_match=rep,senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32527
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active