US Elections
2026 Maine Democratic Senate Nominee
2026_maine_dem_senate_nominee resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 8
- Linked markets
- 17 · 3 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #908: llm:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · Three markets clearly address the same event: 2026 Maine Democratic Senate nominee selection. Markets 1 and 3 focus on Platner; Market 2 asks for the nominee broadly. Slight variation in resolution dates (July 31 vs Nov 3); Nov 3 (general election date) is most representative. · cluster=3
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Jared Golden Yes | 0.0005 | — | $104.1k | $11.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Jared Golden No | 1.000 | — | $104.1k | $11.2k | polymarket | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Graham Platner yes | 0.199 | — | $4.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.927 | — | $1.71M | $27.1k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.935 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Graham Platner no | 0.801 | — | $4.7k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.072 | — | $1.71M | $27.1k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.065 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Troy Jackson Yes | 0.0005 | — | $163.6k | $12.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Troy Jackson No | 1.000 | — | $163.6k | $12.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Dan Kleban Yes | 0.0005 | — | $69.9k | $12.0k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Dan Kleban No | 1.000 | — | $69.9k | $12.0k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Janet Mills yes | 0.045 | — | $46 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.070 | — | $425.6k | $27.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.065 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Janet Mills no | 0.955 | — | $46 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ No | 0.930 | — | $425.6k | $27.9k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.935 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Chellie Pingree Yes | 0.0005 | — | $87.7k | $10.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Chellie Pingree No | 1.000 | — | $87.7k | $10.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Jordan Wood Yes | 0.0005 | — | $204.1k | $32.1k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Jordan Wood No | 1.000 | — | $204.1k | $32.1k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
-
Graham Platner +6814bpskalshi YES 0.225 · polymarket NO 0.073
§ Spread history
- 10m ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.225 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6814bps
- 28m ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 40m ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 58m ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 1h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 1h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 2h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 2h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 2h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 2h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 3h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 3h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 3h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 3h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
- 4h ago Graham Platner kalshi YES 0.215 · polymarket NO 0.073 mid-based +6914bps
Showing most recent 30 observations within your tier's window. Subscribe to see deeper history →
§ Canonical outcomes
- graham_platner Graham Platner
- other Other candidate
- mills Janet Mills
- jackson Troy Jackson
- wood Jordan Wood
- golden Jared Golden
- pingree Chellie Pingree
- kleban Dan Kleban
§ Linked markets
Will the margin of victory for Janet Mills in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be above 0%?
proposal #7177: title_jaccard=0.40 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mills · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-JMIL-P50
- Matched
- 5h ago
- Volume
- $46
- Status
- Active
Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 10%?
proposal #7178: title_jaccard=0.36 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=graham_platner · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P5
- Matched
- 5h ago
- Volume
- $217
- Status
- Active
Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be above 50%?
proposal #7183: title_jaccard=0.36 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=graham_platner · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P75
- Matched
- 5h ago
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Status
- Active
Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 10% and 20%?
proposal #7179: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=graham_platner · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P15
- Matched
- 5h ago
- Volume
- $265
- Status
- Active
Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 20% and 30%?
proposal #7180: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=graham_platner · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P25
- Matched
- 5h ago
- Volume
- $720
- Status
- Active
Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 30% and 40%?
proposal #7181: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=graham_platner · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P35
- Matched
- 5h ago
- Volume
- $997
- Status
- Active
Will the margin of victory for Graham Platner in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate primary be between 40% and 50%?
proposal #7182: title_jaccard=0.33 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=graham_platner · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMED-GPLA-P45
- Matched
- 5h ago
- Volume
- $415
- Status
- Active
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
proposal #980: title_jaccard=0.57 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=graham_platner · party_office_match=senate
- External ID
- 599323
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $1.71M
- Status
- Active
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
proposal #1416: expansion: detected entity "Janet Mills" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 599324
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $425.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
proposal #1500: expansion: detected entity "Troy Jackson" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 599328
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $163.6k
- Status
- Active
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
proposal #1491: expansion: detected entity "Jordan Wood" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 599327
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $204.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
proposal #7459: expansion: detected entity "Jared Golden" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 599329
- Matched
- 5h ago
- Volume
- $104.1k
- Status
- Active
Will Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
proposal #7528: expansion: detected entity "Chellie Pingree" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 599326
- Matched
- 4h ago
- Volume
- $87.7k
- Status
- Active
Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
proposal #7606: expansion: detected entity "Dan Kleban" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 599325
- Matched
- 4h ago
- Volume
- $69.9k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate nomination? — Graham Platner
proposal #982: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=graham_platner · party_office_match=senate
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32359
- Matched
- 4d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate nomination? — Janet Mills
proposal #5063: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=mills · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32360
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate nomination? — Dan Kleban
proposal #8455: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=kleban · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=me
- External ID
- predictit_contract_32496
- Matched
- 4h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active