US Elections
2026 Illinois US Senate Election Winner by Party
2026_illinois_senate_party resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 3
- Linked markets
- 3 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Democrat Democrat | 0.926 | — | $179 | $149 | betfair | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Democratics yes | 0.934 | — | $1.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Democratics no | 0.066 | — | $1.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Betfair Exchange
uk
|
Republican Republican | 0.990 | — | $179 | $149 | betfair |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate elections ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- elections Elections
- other Other
- democratics Democratics
§ Linked markets
USA 2026 Midterm Elections · Illinois Senate Election Winner
proposal #6434: chain from discovery proposal #6313: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 1.250485046
- Matched
- 42d ago
- Volume
- $179
- Status
- Active
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Illinois?
proposal #6520: expansion: detected entity "Democratics" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- SENATEIL-28-D
- Matched
- 51d ago
- Volume
- $136
- Status
- Active
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Illinois?
proposal #30267: title_jaccard=0.25 · category=us_elections · canonical_outcome=democratics · party_office_match=senate · us_state_match=il
- External ID
- SENATEIL-26-D
- Matched
- 25d ago
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Status
- Active