US Elections
2026 Illinois US Senate Election Winner by Party
2026_illinois_senate_party resolves 2026-11-03
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 3
- Linked markets
- 1 · 1 venue
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #6313: llm_two_phase:anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 · phase-b · matched=3 · venues=2 · candidates=1 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,illinois,us,senate,election]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
Democratics yes | 0.935 | — | $136 | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Democratics no | 0.065 | — | $136 | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- elections Elections
- other Other
- democratics Democratics
§ Linked markets
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Illinois?
proposal #6520: expansion: detected entity "Democratics" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- SENATEIL-28-D
- Matched
- 2d ago
- Volume
- $136
- Status
- Active