US Elections
2026 Georgia Democratic Gubernatorial Nomination
2026_georgia_democratic_governor_primary resolves 2026-05-19
- Category
- US Elections
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 7
- Linked markets
- 11 · 2 venues
Synthesized from event_discovery proposal #7077: llm_two_phase:openrouter/auto · phase-b · matched=6 · venues=1 · candidates=5 · joke_filtered=0 · signature=[2026,georgia,democratic,governor,nomination]
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Olujimi Brown Yes | 0.0015 | — | $13.8k | $17.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Olujimi Brown No | 0.999 | — | $13.8k | $17.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Geoff Duncan Yes | 0.025 | — | $40.8k | $21.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.070 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Geoff Duncan No | 0.976 | — | $40.8k | $21.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.930 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Jason Esteves Yes | 0.155 | — | $25.0k | $18.1k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.160 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Jason Esteves No | 0.845 | — | $25.0k | $18.1k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.840 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Keisha Lance Bottoms Yes | 0.660 | — | $44.2k | $20.0k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.780 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Keisha Lance Bottoms No | 0.340 | — | $44.2k | $20.0k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.220 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Michael Thurmond Yes | 0.182 | — | $29.0k | $14.2k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Michael Thurmond No | 0.818 | — | $29.0k | $14.2k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Ruwa Romman Yes | 0.0005 | — | $60.3k | $15.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ yes | 0.010 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Ruwa Romman No | 1.000 | — | $60.3k | $15.7k | polymarket | |
|
PredictIt
us
|
↳ no | 0.990 | — | —1 | —1 | predictit |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- geoff_duncan Geoff Duncan
- jason_esteves Jason Esteves
- keisha_lance_bottoms Keisha Lance Bottoms
- michael_thurmond Michael Thurmond
- ruwa_romman Ruwa Romman
- other Other
- brown Olujimi Brown
§ Linked markets
Will Ruwa Romman win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
proposal #7646: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ruwa_romman · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 837772
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $60.3k
- Status
- Active
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
proposal #7772: title_jaccard=0.27 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=keisha_lance_bottoms · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 837771
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $44.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
proposal #7809: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=geoff_duncan · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 837768
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $40.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
proposal #7972: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=michael_thurmond · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 837773
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
proposal #8051: title_jaccard=0.30 · date_prox=1.00 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=jason_esteves · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- 837769
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $25.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Olujimi Brown win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
proposal #8402: expansion: detected entity "Olujimi Brown" not in event canonical_outcomes; category_hint matched
- External ID
- 837767
- Matched
- 3h ago
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Democratic nomination for governor? — Jason Esteves
proposal #7084: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=jason_esteves · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33775
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Democratic nomination for governor? — Geoff Duncan
proposal #7085: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=geoff_duncan · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33776
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Democratic nomination for governor? — Michael Thurmond
proposal #7086: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=michael_thurmond · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33777
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Democratic nomination for governor? — Ruwa Romman
proposal #7087: title_jaccard=0.50 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=ruwa_romman · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33778
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Who will win the 2026 Georgia Democratic nomination for governor? — Keisha Lance Bottoms
proposal #7083: title_jaccard=0.44 · category=us_elections · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=keisha_lance_bottoms · party_office_match=dem,governor · us_state_match=ga
- External ID
- predictit_contract_33774
- Matched
- 6h ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active